#479 — When Robots Take Over
Sam Harris speaks with Vinod Khosla about AI, economic disruption, and political risk. They discuss the prospect of mass job displacement, a trillion-dollar policy framework to redistribute AI's gains, the failure of the California wealth tax, the corporate capitulation to Trump, Elon Musk's embrace of white nationalist rhetoric, US-China competition, semiconductor dependence, and other topics.
If the Making Sense podcast logo in your player is BLACK, you can SUBSCRIBE to gain access to all full-length episodes at samharris.org/subscribe.
Hard truths about building in the AI era | Keith Rabois (Khosla Ventures)
Keith Rabois was an early executive at PayPal (part of the famous PayPal Mafia), COO at Square, VP of Corporate Development at LinkedIn, and an early investor in Stripe, DoorDash, Airbnb, YouTube, Ramp, and Palantir. Currently he’s managing director at Khosla Ventures. Also, he hasn’t touched a computer since September 2010 (he does everything from an iPad).
In our in-depth conversation, Keith shares:
1. The barrels vs. ammunition hiring framework (and how to spot barrels)
2. Why talking to customers is actively harmful for consumer products
3. How to identify undiscovered talent
4. Why the PM role is dying
5. The three traits of the best-performing companies right now
6. The specific interview question he asks every senior candidate
7. Why CMOs (not engineers) are becoming the #1 consumer of tokens
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Episode transcript: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/hard-truths-about-building-in-the-ai-era
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Archive of all Lenny's Podcast transcripts: https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fo/yxi4s2w998p1gvtpu4193/AMdNPR8AOw0lMklwtnC0TrQ?rlkey=j06x0nipoti519e0xgm23zsn9&st=ahz0fj11&dl=0
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Where to find Keith Rabois:
• X: https://x.com/rabois
• LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/keith
• Website: https://www.khoslaventures.com
—
Where to find Lenny:
• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com
• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan
• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/
—
In this episode, we cover:
(00:00) Introduction to Keith Rabois
(01:59) Why Keith hasn’t used a computer since 2010
(04:52) The team you build is the company you build
(07:40) How Keith learned to identify talent at PayPal
(10:05) Tactics for getting better at hiring
(15:31) The barrels vs. ammunition framework
(18:52) What makes someone a barrel
(22:36) How to attract the best talent
(26:18) Building companies on undiscovered talent
(27:53) Why better performance requires more pressure
(32:36) Career advice in the age of AI
(35:14) The future of the product triad
(41:03) Why design and code are merging
(49:35) What practicing law taught Keith about entrepreneurship
(51:22) Contrarian takes on customer feedback
(1:02:33) Identifying great AI opportunities
(1:05:13) Advice for evaluating statrups
(1:12:36) Criticizing in public vs. private
(1:15:05) Failure corner
(1:17:29) Lightning round
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Referenced:
• Square: https://squareup.com
• Jack Dorsey on X: https://x.com/jack
• Head of Claude Code: What happens after coding is solved | Boris Cherny: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/head-of-claude-code-what-happens
• Simon Willison’s Weblog: https://simonwillison.net
• Vinod Khosla on X: https://x.com/vkhosla
• Peter Thiel on X: https://x.com/peterthiel
• Max Levchin on X: https://x.com/mlevchin
• David Sacks on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidoliversacks
• Tony Xu on X: https://x.com/t_xu
• David Sze on X: https://x.com/davidsze
• Faire: https://www.faire.com
• Max Rhodes on X: https://x.com/MaxRhodesOK
• Jeffrey Kolovson on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jeffreykolovson
• Uncapped | Comparative Advantages w/ Keith Rabois: https://www.khoslaventures.com/posts/uncapped-comparative-advantages-w-keith-rabois
• Lattice: https://lattice.com
• Taylor Francis on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/taylor-francis-4ba49640
• Building product at Stripe: craft, metrics, and customer obsession | Jeff Weinstein (Product lead): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/building-product-at-stripe-jeff-weinstein
• The art of hiring: insights from Khosla Ventures, Airbnb, Ramp and Traba: https://ramp.com/velocity/the-art-of-hiring-insights
• Eric Glyman: Seek out super individual contributors (ICs): https://ramp.com/velocity/the-art-of-hiring-insights#Eric-Glyman:-Seek-out-super-individual-contributors-(ICs)
• Eric Glyman on X: https://x.com/eglyman
• Mike Moore on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mike-moore-802223177
• Brian Chesky’s new playbook: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/brian-cheskys-contrarian-approach
• Why you should work much harder RIGHT NOW: https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/03/why-you-should-work-much-harder-right-now.html
• Opendoor: https://www.opendoor.com
• The Craft of Early Stage Venture | Peter Fenton, General Partner at Benchmark | Uncapped with Jack Altman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vRiblwiXt-Q
• Lovable: https://lovable.dev
• The rise of the professional vibe coder (a new AI-era job) | Lazar Jovanovic (Professional Vibe Coder): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/getting-paid-to-vibe-code
• Building Lovable: $10M ARR in 60 days with 15 people | Anton Osika (co-founder and CEO): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/building-lovable-anton-osika
• Marc Andreessen: The real AI boom hasn’t even started yet: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/marc-andreessen-the-real-ai-boom
• Jeremy Stoppelman on X: https://x.com/jeremys
• The design process is dead. Here’s what’s replacing it. | Jenny Wen (head of design at Claude): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/the-design-process-is-dead
• Andy Warhol: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andy_Warhol
• Curation and Algorithms: https://stratechery.com/2015/curation-and-algorithms
• Ernest Hemingway: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ernest_Hemingway
• William Shakespeare: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Shakespeare
• Evan Moore on X: https://x.com/evancharles
• Andrew Mason on X: https://x.com/andrewmason
• Read Taylor Swift’s Full Viral Speech After Record-Breaking Awards Sweep: https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/read-taylor-swift-full-acceptance-speech-record-breaking-awards-sweep-11745941
• The Chainsmokers: Stories Behind the Songs, AI’s Impact on Music, and Venture Investing | Uncapped with Jack Altman: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GMSC-2pYnw&list=PLtpH7YnTL8ihy0nR2BV32n5VkRtqlDAS1&index=16
• How to spot a top 1% startup early: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/how-to-spot-a-top-1-startup-early
• David Weiden on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davidweiden
• Alfred Lin on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/linalfred
• Keith’s post about vertical integration on X: https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000
• Jon Chu on X: https://x.com/jonchu
• Kanu Gulati on X: https://x.com/KanuGulati
• Rogo: https://rogo.ai
• Profound: https://www.tryprofound.com
• Basis: https://www.getbasis.ai
• Spellbook: https://www.spellbook.legal
• Roelof Botha on X: https://x.com/roelofbotha
• Delian Asparouhov on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/delian-asparouhov-87447742
• Lessons From Keith Rabois, Essay 1: How to become a Venture Capitalist: https://delian.io/lessons-1
• Velocity over everything: How Ramp became the fastest-growing SaaS startup of all time | Geoff Charles (VP of Product): https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/velocity-over-everything-how-ramp
• Nuremberg on AppleTV+: https://tv.apple.com/us/movie/nuremberg/umc.cmc.3sg4y0382byupy76bfy7307k4
• Eight Sleep: https://www.eightsleep.com
• “NO DAYS OFF”—Bill Belichick on X: https://x.com/SNFonNBC/status/829036279069364224
—
Recommended books:
• Creativity, Inc.: Overcoming the Unseen Forces That Stand in the Way of True Inspiration: https://www.amazon.com/Creativity-Inc-Overcoming-Unseen-Inspiration/dp/0812993012
• The Jordan Rules: The Inside Story of One Turbulent Season with Michael Jordan and the Chicago Bulls: https://www.amazon.com/Jordan-Rules-Sam-Smith/dp/0671796666
• The Upside of Stress: Why Stress Is Good for You, and How to Get Good at It: https://www.amazon.com/Upside-Stress-Why-Good-You/dp/1101982934
—
Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.
—
Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed.
To hear more, visit www.lennysnewsletter.com
Keith Rabois: Israel, OpenAI, Opendoor, and DOGE
From politics to technology to real estate, Keith Rabois has bold predictions for America’s next decade.
In this conversation with Erik Torenberg, Keith breaks down why he believes the U.S. is entering a new economic expansion driven by AI, productivity, and sovereign technology. They discuss how AI could lift GDP growth to 5%, why sovereign AI projects are inevitable, and why America can “grow its way out” of debt.
Keith also shares his takes on Trump’s second term, the decline of legacy institutions, OpenAI’s dominance, the future of Google and Microsoft, and how startups like Ramp and Opendoor are rewriting the rules of fintech and housing.
Resources:
Follow Keith on X: https://x.com/rabois
Follow Alex on X: https://x.com/arampell
Stay Updated:
If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!
Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16z
Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z
Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYX
Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711
Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenberg
Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.
Stay Updated:
Find a16z on YouTube: YouTube
Find a16z on X
Find a16z on LinkedIn
Listen to the a16z Show on Spotify
Listen to the a16z Show on Apple Podcasts
Follow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg
Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.
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Grok 4 Wows, The Bitter Lesson, Elon's Third Party, AI Browsers, SCOTUS backs POTUS on RIFs
(0:00) The Besties welcome Travis Kalanick and Keith Rabois!
(3:02) Travis on Pony.ai / Uber rumors and the state of Cloud Kitchens
(18:51) xAI launches Grok 4, learning "The Bitter Lesson" in AI
(40:36) How Grok can catch ChatGPT in usage, OpenAI's product excellence
(46:27) Perplexity and OpenAI building AI-native browsers and taking on Chrome
(58:01) Elon's "America Party": is now the right time for a third party, and could he make an impact in 2026?
(1:13:12) SCOTUS backs Trump over federal government RIF plans
Follow Keith:
https://x.com/rabois
Follow Travis:
https://x.com/travisk
Get The Besties All-In Tequila:
https://tequila.allin.com
Join us at the All-In Summit:
https://allin.com/summit
Summit scholarship application:
http://bit.ly/4kyZqFJ
Follow the besties:
https://x.com/chamath
https://x.com/Jason
https://x.com/DavidSacks
https://x.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://x.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/technology/uber-travis-kalanick-self-driving-car-deal.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZW5fJikPmfM
https://grok.com
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_wTA90BYo30
https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/08/elon-musk-agrees-that-weve-exhausted-ai-training-data
https://x.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1943166841150644622
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1943192643439337753
http://www.incompleteideas.net/IncIdeas/BitterLesson.html
https://x.com/chamath/status/1943177837956968499
https://techcrunch.com/2025/07/09/perplexity-launches-comet-an-ai-powered-web-browser
https://x.com/perplexity_ai/status/1942969263305671143
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1941584569523732930
https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-register-the-america-party-by
https://ropercenter.cornell.edu/presidential-approval/highslows
https://news.gallup.com/poll/651278/support-third-political-party-dips.aspx
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/02/implementing-the-presidents-department-of-government-efficiency-workforce-optimization-initiative
https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/07/supreme-court-allows-trump-administration-to-implement-plans-to-significantly-reduce-the-federal-workforce
https://www.afge.org/article/summary-of-afge-lawsuits-against-trump--how-litigation-works
https://cei.org/publication/10kc-2025-numbers-of-rules
https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/american-manhunt-osama-bin-laden-release-date-news
Seed to Series C: What VCs actually want from AI startups
AI investments hit $110 billion in 2024, and the funding landscape in 2025 is more competitive than ever. For early-stage startups, that means more money in the market but also more pressure to stand out.
At TechCrunch Sessions: AI, Rebecca Bellan sat down with three experienced investors: Jill Chase, Partner at CapitalG; Kanu Gulati, Partner at Khosla Ventures; and Sara Ittelson, Partner at Accel. They broke down what they are really looking for when evaluating AI startups from seed through Series C. Their message to founders? Forget the perfect pitch. Focus on building trust, surviving the hype cycle, and being ready for copycats the moment you find product-market fit.
Listen to the full episode of Equity to hear about:
Why VCs say founders are over-indexing on pitch decks instead of relationships
What it takes to go up against big incumbents without getting crushed
Why consumer focus (and speed) still win, even in B2B AI
How agents and automation are already reshaping the startup playbook
Equity will be back Friday with our weekly news roundup, so stay tuned.
Equity is TechCrunch’s flagship podcast, produced by Theresa Loconsolo, and posts every Wednesday and Friday.
Subscribe to us on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, Spotify and all the casts. You also can follow Equity on X and Threads, at @EquityPod. For the full episode transcript, for those who prefer reading over listening, check out our full archive of episodes here.
Credits: Equity is produced by Theresa Loconsolo with editing by Kell. We’d also like to thank TechCrunch’s audience development team. Thank you so much for listening, and we'll talk to you next time.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
EP 137: Keith Rabois and Zach Weinberg Debate: Are Tariffs a Smart Economic Weapon?
Debate between Keith Rabois and Zach Weinberg on what tariffs are actually trying to accomplish. One core theme: Tariffs aren’t fully about “bringing back factories,” but rather a negotiation tool to eliminate foreign trade barriers - ultimately aiming to increase free trade, not restrict it.
We also got into:
- What each of them would do if they were in charge
- Whether the trade deficit is a meaningful metric or just a misunderstood talking point
- If tariffs could be part of an initiative to replace income tax — shifting toward a more consumption-based tax system
- If tariffs could successfully be used as a non-military tool to reduce drug supply to the US
- If there’s a major disconnect between the new administration’s rhetoric and the actual economic goals behind the policy
One of the deepest economic conversations from the show’s recent history — and a rare debate where both sides had real logic behind their views.
(00:00) Introduction and Host's Biases
(00:46) Keith's Perspective on Tariffs
(03:05) Zach's Perspective and Clarifying Questions
(05:14) Debating Tariff Strategies
(07:45) Economic Implications and Free Trade
(13:31) Trump's Tariff Policies and Goals
(16:57) Global Trade and Protectionism
(25:52) Final Thoughts on Tariffs and Trade
(29:16) Discussion on Trade Tariffs and Partners
(30:17) Impact of Tariffs on GDP and Debt
(31:20) Political Coalitions and Trade Policies
(32:00) Tariffs as Consumer Taxes
(33:30) Debate on Trade Deficit and Tariff Rates
(36:53) Regulatory Reforms and Economic Policies
(47:25) Fentanyl Crisis and Trade Negotiations
(51:06) Closing Remarks and Future Topics
Executive Producer: Rashad Assir
Producer: Leah Clapper
Mixing and editing: Justin Hrabovsky
Check out Unsupervised Learning, Redpoint's AI Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@UCUl-s_Vp-Kkk_XVyDylNwLA
🎙 Listen to the show
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-logan-bartlett-show/id1606770839
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About the Show
Logan Bartlett is a Software Investor at Redpoint Ventures - a Silicon Valley-based VC with $6B AUM and investments in Snowflake, DraftKings, Twilio, and Netflix. In each episode, Logan goes behind the scenes with world-class entrepreneurs and investors. If you're interested in the real inside baseball of tech, entrepreneurship, and start-up investing, tune in every Friday for new episodes.
Scaling solutions for the climate crisis, with Vinod Khosla
Tech titan Vinod Khosla argues that a dozen extraordinary entrepreneurs could make all the difference in combatting climate change. He spoke with host Jeff Berman live at the Masters of Scale Summit in October. Khosla shares insights as an investor and details his techno-optimist view on what the future may hold.
You can find Vinod's essay "AI: Dystopia or Utopia?" here: https://www.khoslaventures.com/ai-dystopia-or-utopia/
See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Trump's Cabinet, Google's Quantum Chip, Apple's Flop, TikTok, State of VC with bestie Keith Rabois
(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois!
(4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin
(13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion
(25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more
(43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing
(54:30) TikTok panics after appeals court upholds the "divest-or-ban" law, with a January 19th deadline
(1:03:55) State of Venture Capital, why Stripe is still private, thoughts on crypto
Follow the besties:
https://x.com/chamath
https://x.com/Jason
https://x.com/DavidSacks
https://x.com/friedberg
Follow Keith:
https://x.com/rabois
Follow on X:
https://x.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.tiktok.com/@frankielapenna/video/7010077215576575238
https://www.axios.com/2024/12/06/trump-billionaires-cabinet-elon-musk
https://blog.google/technology/research/google-willow-quantum-chip
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08449-y
https://research.google/blog/suppressing-quantum-errors-by-scaling-a-surface-code-logical-qubit
https://quantumai.google/roadmap
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hartmut_Neven
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double-slit_experiment
https://www.discovery.com/science/Double-Slit-Experiment
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schr%C3%B6dinger%27s_cat
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/apple-is-working-on-ai-chip-with-broadcom?rc=pxkrxo
https://x.com/rabois/status/870673635375104000
https://www.amazon.com/Company-Giants-Conversations-Visionaries-Digital/dp/0070329656
https://www.cnn.com/2024/12/09/tech/bytedance-tiktok-halt-us-ban-intl/index.html
https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-us-ban-sale-china-congress-de12b4d22aa8095e62cb0982a6e62235
https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-ban-congress-bill-1c48466df82f3684bd6eb21e61ebcb8d
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q3-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/12/12/servicetitan-starts-trading-on-nasdaq-after-ipo.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/business/dealbook/ftc-trump-ferguson-khan.html
https://www.ben-evans.com/benedictevans/2021/6/15/antitrust
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-05/convertible-bond-arbs-are-making-microstrategy-wall-street-s-hottest-trade
12 predictions for the future of technology | Vinod Khosla
Techno-optimist Vinod Khosla believes in the world-changing power of "foolish ideas." He offers 12 bold predictions for the future of technology — from preventative medicine to car-free cities to planes that get us from New York to London in 90 minutes — and shows why a world of abundance awaits.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
20VC: The Memo: Keith Rabois and Ramp's Eric Glyman on Behind The Scenes at The Best Run Private Company on the Planet; The Tools, Tips, Secrets and Process That Drive Efficiency
Eric Glyman is the Co-Founder and CEO of Ramp, America's fastest growing corporate card and finance automation platform. Under Eric's leadership, Ramp has raised more than $1 billion in financing, with a valuation of $8.1 billion. Prior to Ramp, Eric co-founded Paribus, a price-tracking app to help consumers save money (acquired by Capital One). Ramp recently raised another $150 million series D round co-led by Founders Fund and Khosla ventures, with a post-money valuation of $7.65 billion.
Keith Rabois is a Managing Director @ Khosla Ventures and one of the most respected venture investors of the last decade. Keith has led investments in Stripe, Faire, Ramp, Affirm and many more. Prior to Khosla Ventures, Keith was General Partner at Founders Fund, where he led investments for Ramp, Trade Republic, and Aven.
In Today's Episode with Eric Glyman and Keith Rabois We Discuss:
Behind Ramp's Partnership with Founders Fund & Khosla Ventures
How did the first Founders Fund deal come to be? How was the first meeting?
What does Keith mean when he says Ramp has the "secret sauce" to be successful?
What are 1-2 things Keith thinks Eric is world-class at? What are 1-2 things Eric thinks Keith is world-class at?
How did the latest Khosla deal come to happen?
Ramp: The Fastest Executing Company on the Planet.
How is Eric so good at executing at Ramp? What is his biggest advice to founders on speed of execution?
What are Eric's biggest challenges in the next 12 months at Ramp?
Why does Keith believe momentum is crucial for early stage startups? What are some easy ways founders can build momentum?
How does Eric think AI will accelerate Ramp and the world of finance?
Leadership Lessons From the Best Founders
What are Keith's biggest lessons from Brian Chesky @ Airbnb?
What did Keith learn from Jack Dorsey @ Square about leadership?
What does Eric think founders today should build? What should they not build?
What did Eric learn from Keith on how founders should measure time & progress?
Hiring & Team Management
How did Ramp build a solid talent team? What did they do differently?
Does Keith & Eric believe it is better to hire externally or promote internally? What is the right balance?
Does Keith agree founders should hire & get out the way or micromanage?
How many direct reports does Keith think is enough?
20VC Exclusive: Keith Rabois on Rejoining Khosla Ventures
Keith Rabois is a Managing Director @ Khosla Ventures and one of the most respected venture investors of the last decade. Keith has led investments in Stripe, Faire, Ramp, Affirm and many more. Just last week, Keith announced he would be rejoining Khosla from Founders Fund, where he spent an immensely successful 5 years as a General Partner. Prior to Founders Fund, Keith started his career at Khosla where he spent 6 years and led investments in DoorDash, Opendoor, Webflow and more.
In Today's Episode with Keith Rabois We Discuss:
1. The Decision to Rejoin Khosla Ventures:
Why did Keith decide to rejoin Khosla Ventures from Founders Fund?
What did Keith miss most that Khosla did, that Founders Fund did not?
How did Delian take the news?
2. Comparing Two Great Firms: Founders Fund vs Khosla Ventures:
Investing Style: How does Keith compare the investing styles when analyzing FF and KV?
Price Discipline: Which firm is more price-disciplined? Does price discipline even matter?
What are the single biggest mistakes Keith has made on price? How did it change how he invests?
Founder Type: What sort of founder would choose KV? What founder would choose FF?
How did the depth & quality of investment decision-making compare between KV and FF?
3. What It Takes To Win in Venture in 2024:
Liquidity: What have been Keith's biggest lessons on when is the right time to sell positions?
Capital Planning: What have been Keith's biggest lessons on the most effective use of reserves?
Why does Keith believe if you do not lose some deals as an investor, you are not competing for the right companies?
Khosla Ventures recently raised $3BN. How important is the ability to support companies across their lifetime in 2024 vs stage specific?
4. Where is The Best Place to Invest:
Why does Keith think seed is the best place to be investing today?
Why despite the better risk/reward profile, does Keith think Series A is not the best place to invest?
Does Keith believe we will see the return of growth investing in 2024?
What does Keith predict for the M&A market in 2024? Did Figma kill all activity?
When will the IPO windows open again? Why would Stripe go out this year?
5. Keith Rabois: AMA:
Why did Keith not want to start his own fund? Will he ever?
What have been Keith's biggest lessons from working with Vinod Khosla and Peter Thiel?
What were Keith's biggest lessons from Roelof Botha on what it takes to be an effective board member?
How does Keith think about bitcoin in 2024?
20VC: Keith Rabois and Mike Shebat on Creating an Olympian Mindset to Work Ethic, Why First-Time Founders are Better Than Serial Entrepreneurs, Why Remote Work Does Not Work, Why the Best Founders Always Start in their Teens & Why Companies are Cults?
Keith Rabois is a General Partner @ Founders Fund, one of the world's best venture funds with a portfolio including the likes of Facebook, SpaceX, Anduril, Tesla and many more. For the last 23 years straight, Keith has either invested in or founded a $BN company. Keith is also the Co-Founder and CEO @ Openstore, the company that will buy or run your Shopify business.
Mike Shebat is the Founder and CEO @ Traba, the company providing industrial staffing when and where you need it. To date, Mike has raised $49M with Traba from some of the best including Founders Fund, General Catalyst and Khosla Ventures.
In Today's Episode We Discuss:
1. What it Takes to Build a Great:
Why does Mike expect everyone to work in office 12 hours per day, 4 days per week?
At what point does an extra hour of work not lead to more output?
What are the expectations in terms of emails, out of office, the weekends?
Keith, from the 23 BN companies you have worked with, is this insane work ethic aligned to all of them? Which had it? What did not?
What core components of PayPal's work ethic made it so strong? What does Keith mean when he says Linkedin could and should have been 5x bigger?
2. The Hiring Process for the Swat Team:
What does the hiring process look like for this type of work environment?
What are the signs that someone is really aligned to it vs faking it for the interview process?
What have been Keith's biggest lessons on both compensation and title in the hiring process?
Why does Keith believe that culture is like concrete? What are the biggest mistakes he has made on culture and what would he have done differently?
3. First-Time Founders, Innate Entrepreneurs & Europe's Failing:
Does Keith agree the best founders always show signs of early entrepreneurship in their teens?
Why does Keith prefer first-time founders to serial entrepreneurs? Why are they better?
Why does Keith believe that Europe has not created a $100BN company since 1990?
4. Remote Work, Network Effects and Baseball:
Why does Keith believe being great in venture is like baseball?
Why does Keith and Founders Fund not invest in remote teams? How does he explain Gitlab?
Why does Keith believe Airbnb has the best network effect he has ever seen?
What is OpenStore? How Keith Rabois is Acquiring Shopify Brands
Keith is the Co-founder and CEO of OpenStore, a portfolio of brands building its own shopping destination. Before starting OpenStore, Keith was an early executive at companies like PayPal, eBay, LinkedIn, and Square, a co-founder of OpenDoor, and an early investor in companies like DoorDash, Faire, Affirm, Webflow, Ramp, and Stripe, and is also currently a General Partner at Founders Fund
Keith started the company in 2021 with co-founders Jack Abraham, Matt Lanter, and Jeremy Wood, and has since raised over $150 million supported by investors like Atomic, Founders Fund, General Catalyst, Khosla Ventures, Lux Capital, and Vine Ventures.
—
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In this episode, we discuss:
• The 3-minute conversation that started OpenStore
• All the problems that still exist in ecommerce
• Why Instagram Shopping failed
• What Keith and team are building at OpenStore
• Why Wish failed
• The margin profile of most consumer brands
• A crash course on contribution margin and profitability for startup founders
• How OpenStore gets 3x higher contribution margin than other consumer brands
• As a VC, the one thing Keith looks for in the founders he backs
• A framework for founders and investors to consider when incubating companies
• Why Keith thinks no great SF-based startups has been founded since March of 2020
• The reasons he moved to Miami
• Why he’s bearish on most AI startups
• His favorite interview questions for candidates
Referenced:
• Email Keith - keith@foundersfund.com
Where to find Keith:
• Twitter: https://twitter.com/rabois
• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/keith
Where to find Turner:
• Newsletter: https://www.thespl.it
• Twitter: https://twitter.com/TurnerNovak
Production and distribution by: https://www.supermix.io
Want to sponsor the show? https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSebvhBlDDfHJyQdQWs8RwpFxWg-UbG0H-VFey05QSHvLxkZPQ/viewform
20VC: Vinod Khosla on How AI Impacts The Future of Healthcare, Education, Income Equality, Geo-Politics, Music and Climate Change
Vinod Khosla is the Founder of Khosla Ventures, one of the leading venture firms of the last decade with investments in OpenAI, Stripe, DoorDash, Commonwealth Fusion Systems and many more. Prior to founding Khosla, Vinod was a co-founder of Daisy Systems and founding CEO of Sun Microsystems.
In Today's Episode with Vinod Khosla We Discuss:
1. The State of AI Today:
Does Vinod believe we are in a bubble or is the excitement justified based on technological development?
What are the single biggest lessons that Vinod has from prior bubbles?
What is different about this time? What is Vinod concerned about with this AI bubble?
2. The Future of Healthcare and Music:
How does Vinod evaluate the impact AI will have on the future of healthcare?
How does Vinod analyse the impact AI will have on the future of music and content creation?
Does Vinod believe that humans will resist these advancements?
Who will be the laggards, slow to embrace it and who will be the early adopters?
3. Solving Income Inequality:
Does Vinod believe AI does more to harm or to hurt income inequality?
What mechanisms can be put in place to ensure that AI does not further concentrate wealth into the hands of the few?
Does Vinod believe in universal basic income? What does everyone get wrong with UBI?
4. The Future of Energy, Climate and Politics:
Why is forcing non-economic solutions the wrong approach to climate? What is the right approach?
Why is Vinod so bullish on fusion and geothermal? How does fusion bankrupt entire industries?
How does the advancements in energy and resource creation change global politics?
Does Vinod believe Larry Summers was right; "China is a prison, Japan is a nursing home and Europe is a museum"?
5. Vinod Khosla: AMA:
What is Vinod's single biggest investing miss?
What does Vinod know now that he wishes he had known when he started investing?
Why did the Taylor Swift concert have such a profound impact on him?
What was Marc Andreesen like when he backed him with Netscape in 1996?
Vinod Khosla’s View of the Future, From AI to China
After Kara and Nayeema discuss Senators Warren and Graham’s unlikely alliance on tech regulation, we turn to today’s guest: longtime venture capitalist Vinod Khosla. We discuss his take that AI will “free humanity from the need to work,” his early investments in climate tech, and what happens in the techno-economic war between the United States and China.
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EP 62: Keith Rabois (Partner, Founders Fund) Lessons from Peter Thiel & Reid Hoffman, and Why He'd Never Invest in a Remote-First Company
Keith Rabois is a prominent Silicon Valley investor and entrepreneur. He is currently the CEO and founder of OpenStore, and a partner at Founders Fund, a venture capital firm co-founded by Peter Thiel. Prior to this, he served as the COO at Square, a mobile payments company founded by Jack Dorsey, and was also part of the so-called "PayPal Mafia," a group of individuals who co-founded PayPal or worked there in its early days and went on to become successful entrepreneurs and investors. Throughout his career, he has been involved in the founding and growth of many successful technology companies, including Yelp, LinkedIn, and YouTube. In Keith's second appearance on the podcast, he discusses topics such as his dislike for OKRs, his aversion to investing in remote-first companies, and his experiences working with Peter Thiel, Reid Hoffman, and Jack Dorsey.
(0:00) Intro
(1:14) Welcome back, Keith
(5:35) Hating OKRs
(10:03) On making decisions
(14:09) Not believing in remote work
(17:33) Social Issues in the Workplace
(19:00) What is the role of a VC?
(22:08) Thinking about what can go right
(29:35) The "why you" in a potential investment
(34:28) Fitting the founder to the story
(37:59) The most successful founders are trending older
(43:21) The firm brand at Founders Fund
(47:57) Lessons learned from Keith's only five bosses in his career
(55:48) Thoughts on AI
(59:36) Artificial Intelligence in China
(1:03:23) What is your most contrarian view today?
(1:06:56) On Elon & using Twitter
Show Notes:
https://twitter.com/rabois
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fQHLK1aIBs
https://delian.io/lessons-3
Mixed and edited: Justin Hrabovsky
Produced: Rashad Assir
Executive Producer: Josh Machiz
Music: Griff Lawson
🎙 Listen to the show
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About the Show
Logan Bartlett is a Software Investor at Redpoint Ventures - a Silicon Valley-based VC with $6B AUM and investments in Snowflake, DraftKings, Twilio, and Netflix. In each episode, Logan goes behind the scenes with world-class entrepreneurs and investors. If you're interested in the real inside baseball of tech, entrepreneurship, and start-up investing, tune in every Friday for new episodes.
Executive Producer: Rashad Assir
Producer: Leah Clapper
Mixing and editing: Justin Hrabovsky
Check out Unsupervised Learning, Redpoint's AI Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@UCUl-s_Vp-Kkk_XVyDylNwLA
🎥 Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCugS0jD5IAdoqzjaNYzns7w?sub_confirmation=1
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About the Show
Logan Bartlett is a Software Investor at Redpoint Ventures - a Silicon Valley-based VC with $6B AUM and investments in Snowflake, DraftKings, Twilio, and Netflix. In each episode of The Logan Bartlett Show, we sit down with the people behind today’s most important startups and extract the tactics, lessons, and frameworks they’ve learned the hard way. Conversations span hiring to GTM, product, growth, fundraising and everything in between - collectively forming the ultimate playbook to make you a better CEO, investor or board member.
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Keith Rabois on 2023 macro outlook, startup valuations, founder advice, ChatGPT vs Google | E1650
Multiple time guest and friend of the pod Keith Rabois is back! Jason and Keith talk 2023 macro outlook (1:00), big tech's impact on startups (10:01), advice for founders (18:24), Meta's risky VR bet (27:22), ChatGPT vs Google (39:05), and more!
(0:00) Jason intros today's guest: Keith Rabois!
(1:00) Keith's 2023 macro outlook and thoughts on startup valuations
(8:54) Vanta - Get $1000 off your SOC 2 at https://vanta.com/twist
(10:01) What are big tech hiring freezes and RIFs doing to the startup market? Entitlement era coming to an end
(18:24) Advice for different archetypes of founders
(25:50) Acquire.com - Sign up for FREE at https://try.acquire.com/twist
(27:22) Importance of founder authority, Tim Cook taking over for Steve Jobs at Apple, Meta's risky VR bet
(37:34) Apply for the LAUNCH Accelerator: https://launchaccelerator.co
(39:05) Keith's thoughts on ChatGPT, a new approach to search, and Microsoft taking on Google
(53:37) What types of founders is Keith looking to invest in right now?
(59:25) OpenDoor thoughts + a little politics
FOLLOW Keith: https://twitter.com/rabois
FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
FOLLOW Molly: https://twitter.com/mollywood
20VC: The Memo: Bill Gurley, Doug Leone, Keith Rabois; Investing Lessons from Prior Busts, How Their Investor Psychology Changed, What Can Be Applied To Today's Market
Bill Gurley is a General Partner @ Benchmark Capital, Bill, is widely recognized as one of the greats of our time having worked with the likes of GrubHub, NextDoor, Uber, OpenTable, Stitch Fix, and Zillow.
Doug Leone is the Global Managing Partner @ Sequoia Capital, one of the world's most renowned and successful venture firms with a portfolio including the likes of Google, Airbnb, Whatsapp, Stripe, Zoom and many more.
Keith Rabois is a General Partner @ Founders Fund, one of the best performing funds of the last decade with a portfolio including Facebook, Airbnb, SpaceX, Stripe, Anduril, the list goes on.
Arthur Patterson and Jim Swartz founded Accel in 1983. Under their leadership, they have built Accel into one of the most prominent venture firms of the last 4 decades.
Michael Eisenberg is a Co-Founder and Equal Partner @ Aleph, with a portfolio including the likes of Lemonade, Melio and HoneyBook, they are one of the leading early-stage firms of the last decade.
Sonali De Rycker is a Partner @ Accel, one of the leading firms of the last 3 decades with a portfolio that includes the likes of UiPath, Miro, Spotify and many more incredible companies.
Fabrice Grinda is the Founding Partner @ FJ Labs, with over 700 investments, Fabrice has had over 250 exits and built a portfolio including Alibaba, Coupang, Airbnb, Instacart, Flexport, and many more.
In Today's Episode You Will Learn:
1.) How does the current environment compare to prior busts?
2.) How will the changing interest rates impact the startup funding climate moving forward?
3.) Why is the rate of inflation the only true metric which reveals the ultimate fate of the economy?
4.) What are the world's leading investors telling their founders?
5.) How are the best investors in the world thinking through reserves management?
20VC: Keith Rabois on Why Buy Low, Sell High Does Not Work in Venture, Keith's Biggest Lessons from Prior Crashes, Why Today's Public Markets are not an Over-Reaction, Why Valuation is a Trap & Why Wokeness is a Function of Entitlement
Keith Rabois is a General Partner @ Founders Fund, one of the best performing funds of the last decade with a portfolio including Facebook, Airbnb, SpaceX, Stripe, Anduril, the list goes on. As for Keith, he has led the first institutional investments in DoorDash, Affirm and co-founded Opendoor. He has also led investments in Faire, Ramp, Trade Republic, and Stripe. As an operator, Keith has an unparalleled track record as a Senior Exec at Paypal, he then went on to influential roles at Linkedin and being COO at Square. Finally, as an angel, Keith made early investments into Airbnb, Lyft, Palantir, Wish and more.
In Today's Episode with Keith Rabois:
1.) Buy Low, Sell High: What BS!
Why does Keith believe that "buy low, sell high" does not work in venture?
Why would it lead you to very dangerous investment decisions at the early stage?
How does the size of your fund impact the appropriateness of "buy low, sell high"?
2.) The Current Landscape:
Does Keith believe the current state of public markets is an over-reaction or a new normal?
How does Keith respond to the suggestion that Founders Fund has paused new investments given the uncertainty in the market?
How does Keith think about investing through cycles and temporal diversification?
How does Keith advise young investors today questioning whether they are actually any good at this?
What does Keith believe are his biggest fears and insecurities today?
3.) Outcome Scenario Planning and Competitor Analysis:
Does Keith believe outcome scenario planning is important?
Why does Keith believe you can always tell your biggest hits early? What have been the core signs for him?
What have been some of Keith's biggest lessons from Mike Moritz and Vinod Khosla when it comes to upside maximization? What are the right questions to ask?
Why does Keith believe you do need to look through public market comps when investing in startups?
4.) Time Allocation and Losing Faith in Founders:
How does Keith approach time allocation across the portfolio? Spend time with the winners or help the struggling companies? What have been his biggest lessons here?
What does Keith do when he has lost faith in the founder? How does he communicate it to them?
What does Kieth believe VCs do wrong when they no longer believe in the founder or company?
5.) Do VCs Add Value?
What does Keith believe is the acid test for whether he is doing his job as a VC properly?
Why does Keith believe there are only 5 board members that add true value to their companies at scale?
Who is the best board member Keith has ever worked with? Why?
Why does Keith believe that age is not your friend as an investor? How does he combat this?
6.) The Downfall of SF and Wokeness:
Will we see a reduction of wokeness in companies with the public markets correcting and power shifting from employees to employers?
Is Keith concerned by the lack of coherence in the US today when it comes to politics?
What are the core reasons for the downfall of SF to Keith?
Why does he believe it is a net negative to build a company in SF today?
Items Mentioned in Today's Episode:
Keith's Most Recent Investment: Found
#AIS: Tim Urban on political discourse + Keith Rabois on early-stage investing in 2022
This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Tim Urban gives a talk on political discourse in America and explains high-rung vs. low-rung thinking
26:20 The Besties and Keith Rabois join Tim Urban on stage for a roundtable discussion on cancel culture
51:23 Keith Rabois talks about taking a pause on new investments in 2022 and gives his take on other major VC players
Follow the guests:
https://twitter.com/waitbutwhy
https://twitter.com/rabois
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
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https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
EP 13: An Interview with Keith Rabois on Why He Tweets and Miami Tech Week, Netflix Loses 200K Subscribers, and Even More Elon
(04:35) Miami Tech Week is just dangerous being so close to Coachella
(08:18) Netflix somehow losing subscribers even though they raised prices and have 98 competitors
(24:14) Elon Musk just buying stuff out of spite
(29:57) A16Z’s new Accelerator
(36:08) Keith Rabois interview and his hottest of takes
Follow the show:
https://twitter.com/cartoonavatars
https://www.instagram.com/cartoonavatars/
https://www.tiktok.com/@cartoonavatars
Follow the hosts:
https://twitter.com/zck
https://twitter.com/nikitabier
https://twitter.com/loganbartlett
Mixed and edited: Justin Hrabovsky
Produced: Andrew Nadeau and Rashad Assir
Executive Producer: Josh Machiz
Music: Griff Lawson
Reference Links:
Netflix stock loss: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/04/19/netflix-nflx-earnings-q1-2022.html
Elon Musk twitter funding: https://www.theverge.com/2022/4/21/23033445/elon-musk-twitter-bank-debt-commitment-letter
A16Z Accelerator program: https://techcrunch.com/2022/04/18/andreessen-horowitz-a16z-start-seed/
Executive Producer: Rashad Assir
Producer: Leah Clapper
Mixing and editing: Justin Hrabovsky
Check out Unsupervised Learning, Redpoint's AI Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@UCUl-s_Vp-Kkk_XVyDylNwLA
🎥 Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCugS0jD5IAdoqzjaNYzns7w?sub_confirmation=1
Follow on Socials
📸 Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/theloganbartlettshow
📱 X - https://twitter.com/loganbartshow
🎬 Clips on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@theloganbartlettshow
About the Show
Logan Bartlett is a Software Investor at Redpoint Ventures - a Silicon Valley-based VC with $6B AUM and investments in Snowflake, DraftKings, Twilio, and Netflix. In each episode of The Logan Bartlett Show, we sit down with the people behind today’s most important startups and extract the tactics, lessons, and frameworks they’ve learned the hard way. Conversations span hiring to GTM, product, growth, fundraising and everything in between - collectively forming the ultimate playbook to make you a better CEO, investor or board member.
Tap follow and enable notifications to stay ahead of the game.
Keith Rabois of Founders Fund + AirBnB's earnings & evolving customer base, SF BOE recall | E1388
World-class investor-operator Keith Rabois is back for his eighth time!
But first, Jason breaks down Airbnb’s great Q4 and full-year earnings report (2:42) and how its customer segment is evolving. Then, he briefly covers the SF Board of Education recall (22:58).
When Keith joins (31:27), he and Jason discuss:
1. How he called the top of the tech market in November 2021
2. Keith's 2019 prediction that came true
2. Venture Capital's decaying price discipline
3. Facebook's challenge ahead
4. Six predictions for the market
Notes
0:00 Jason intros today’s topics: $ABNB full year earnings, SF BOE recall, and a Keith Rabois interview
2:42 Jason breaks down Airbnb’s full year results
11:57 Vanta - Get get $1,000 off automating your SOC 2 at https://vanta.com/twist
13:14 Jason reflects on Airbnb’s roadmap based on clues from their earnings report
21:42 Gun.io - Get $250 off your first developer hire at https://Gun.io/twist!
22:58 SF Board of Education recall, tech people getting involved in government
29:56 Eight Sleep - Go to https://eightsleep.com/twist to check out the Pod Pro Cover and get $150 off at checkout!
31:27 Keith Rabois joins and talks with Jason about calling the top of the tech market in November
43:27 Reflecting on the absence of pricing discipline in VC and how the FED is running out of tools to combat inflation
53:34 Breaking down Facebook’s precarious situation
1:05:16 6 Market predictions
Check out Founders Fund: https://www.foundersfund.com
FOLLOW Keith: https://twitter.com/rabois
FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
FOLLOW Molly: https://twitter.com/mollywood
20VC: The Opendoor Memo: Keith Rabois on The Origins of Opendoor from a Conversation with Peter Thiel, Why Cash is Not a Competitive Moat for Startups Today and What People Misunderstand About Black Swan Events in Real Estate and How it Impacts Opendoor
Keith Rabois is a General Partner @ Founders Fund, one of the most successful venture firms of the last decade with home runs in the likes of SpaceX, Palantir, Stripe, Anduril, Facebook, Airbnb, Nubank and many more. As for Keith, he led the first institutional investments in DoorDash, Affirm and has also led investments in Ramp, Trade Republic, Faire and Stripe. Prior to venture, Keith had the most stellar operating career, joining PayPal when their monthly burn-rate was $6 million; Keith joined LinkedIn, Slide and Square when they had no revenue. Fun fact, five companies Keith helped build are now publicly traded with market caps >$1 Billion. Three others have been acquired for greater than $1 Billion or are publicly traded IPOs. If that was not enough, Keith is also the Co-Founder and CEO @ OpenStore, acquiring small DTC businesses.
In Today's Episode with Keith Rabois You Will Learn:
1.) How Keith first came up with the idea for Opendoor? How a conversation with Peter Thiel led to the founding of the first iteration of the company? Why did it take Keith close to a decade to pursue the idea fully, post having the idea in 2003?
2.) The Market: What made Keith so excited to pursue Opendoor from a top-down market analysis perspective? What does Keith look for in markets he likes to invest in? How did Keith expect the market to change and evolve? What did the market do differently to how Keith thought it would behave?
3.) The Business Model: With debt being the oxygen for Opendoor, how many homes did they need to acquire before they could prove they could price homes accurately? What were Keith's lessons from the first homes they bought? What did not go to plan? Why does Keith disagree, if macro hits real estate, Opendoor's model is challenged? Why does Keith believe it is stronger then?
4.) The Team: What does Keith look for in the founding teams he backs? How does Keith detect diamonds in the rough? How can teams systematically de-risk an opportunity with their experience? With the benefit of hindsight, what would Keith have done differently with the team?
5.) The Funding: Was fundraising for Opendoor always easy? How did the seed round go down? How does Keith feel today about pre-emptive rounds where little company development has taken place? Why did Opendoor decide to SPAC? Why not a direct list? Was this the right choice? What makes for the best SPAC partner?
Keith Rabois on Miami vs. Bay Area, cognitive variety, America’s self-examination & more PLUS Keith’s Best Twitter Dunks | E1182
Check out Founders Fund: https://foundersfund.com
FOLLOW Keith: https://twitter.com/rabois
FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
E1152: Keith Rabois on leaving Silicon Valley for Miami, Roaring Twenties 2.0, IPO spree & more
FOLLOW Keith: https://twitter.com/rabois
FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
E1093: Keith Rabois on China’s grand plan, TikTok, Taiwan, Big Tech & more
Follow Keith: https://twitter.com/rabois
Follow Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
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SaaStr 353: Unicorns and Decacorns in 2020: What's Changed and What Hasn't with Keith Rabois, General Partner at Founders Fund and Jason Lemkin, CEO, and Founder of SaaStr
Keith Rabois (Paypal, Linkedin, Square) and SaaStr Founder Jason Lemkin talk about the landscape of SaaS & Cloud fundraising and valuation in 2020.
This episode is an excerpt from Keith and Jason's session at SaaStr Summit: The New New in Venture.
Full video: https://youtu.be/KxTZfx_QpjY
Podcast transcript: https://www.saastr.com/saastr-podcasts-for-the-week-with-keith-rabois-and-jason-lemkin/
E1057: Founders Fund General Partner Keith Rabois on stock market bounce back, domain expertise being overrated, US/China issues, 2020 election, recipe for startups success, chaos making way for a new generation of entrepreneurs & much more!
0:56 Jason intros Keith Rabois and checks in on his quarantine, Zoom's heightened exhaustion factor & more
5:46 What will the lasting impact of COVID be on Silicon Valley & the startup funding landscape?
8:18 How the early 2000's dot-com bust paved way for a generation of new founders & why the PayPal mafia of outsiders thrived in chaos & became the establishment
14:23 What has happened to intellectual debate during COVID-19? What are first principle thinkers and why are they important to problem-solving?
20:53 Is domain expertise overrated?
22:39 Keith's on his pinned tweet about his perceived recipe for startup success
26:50 In which verticals did Keith find outliers using his low-NPS/fragmented/vertical solution strategy?
32:15 History on US relationship with China, has Trump been right on China threat, should US try and bring manufacturing back from China?
44:41 China's involvement with whistleblowers, benefits of litigation knowledge as a VC, world's reaction to China mishandling COVID info
50:40 Has Biden been soft on China? How will that play into the 2020 election?
1:00:51 Why is the stock market bouncing back so quickly with record-setting unemployment numbers? Will there be another correction?
1:03:59 What is Keith seeing across his portfolio? M&A opportunity for companies like Lyft?
1:09:34 Keith shares thoughts on the right time to go public
1:13:50 Impact of 20% unemployment on startups over the next year, mental impact of lockdown & social isolation
1:20:40 Keith's most positive outlook going forward
20VC: Vinod Khosla on What Venture Assistance Really Means, Why Many VCs Are Not Qualified To Advise Founders & Why Startups Can Innovate So Much Faster Than Incumbents
Vinod Khosla is the Founder @ Khosla Ventures, one of the valley's most renowned firms of the last decade with a portfolio including Square, Affirm, DoorDash, Impossible Foods and OpenDoor just to name a few. As for Vinod, he started his career as a Founder, founding Daisy Systems, a company that went on to IPO. Then in 1982, Vinod founded Sun Microsystems where he pioneered open systems and commercial RISC processors. In 1986, Vinod joined his longtime friend, John Doerr and became a General Partner @ KPCB where he helped incubate Juniper Networks and helped transform the telecommunications business with Cerent Corporation, which was acquired by Cisco Systems in 1999 for $7.2 billion.
In Today's Episode You Will Learn:
1.) How Vinod made his way into the world of startups with the founding of Daisy and Sun Microsystems and how that led to his entry into the world of venture with KPCB and ultimately founding Khosla Ventures?
2.) How does Vinod feel about the term "venture assistance" today? Where does Vinod believe VCs can really drive value? How does Vinod allocate his time to drive as much value for the portfolio as possible? How does Vinod get involved when it comes to talent acquisition for the portfolio?
3.) Why does Vinod believe that most board members are not qualified to advise entrepreneurs today? Why does Vinod believe that most value is driven outside of the board? What can founders to do make their boards as efficient as possible? How does Vinod advise founders to determine which advice to take vs which to disregard?
4.) How does Vinod assess his own approach and attitude to risk today? What does Vinod believe are acceptable vs unacceptable risks in startups? How does Vinod believe the very best founders think about risk management? Does Vinod agree time is the biggest killer of startups? Why does Vinod believe startups are so much quicker to innovate than incumbents?
5.) Why does Vinod believe that tolerance for failure has gone down in Silicon Valley? How does Vinod determine between the realism of when something is not work and to give up vs the visionary persistence to see a project through to the very end? What experience of his own have really led his thinking here?
Items Mentioned In Today's Show:
Vinod's Fave Book: Life on the Edge: The Coming of Age of Quantum Biology, The Third Pillar
As always you can follow Harry, The Twenty Minute VC and Vinod on Twitter here!
Likewise, you can follow Harry on Instagram here for mojito madness and all things 20VC.
20VC: Khosla Ventures Founding Partner, Samir Kaul on Why Pro Rata Is A Cop Out, Why He Likes Technical Risk and Does Not Take Market Risk & How To Approach Time Allocation Across The Portfolio In Venture
Samir Kaul is a Founding Partner and Managing Director at Khosla Ventures, one of the valley's most renowned firms of the last decade with a portfolio including Square, Affirm, DoorDash, Impossible Foods and OpenDoor just to name a few. As for Samir, he led the firm's investment in Guardant Health, Impossible Foods, Nutanix [NASDAQ: NTNX], Oscar, among others. Prior to Khosla, Samir spent five years at Flagship Ventures where he started and invested in early-stage biotechnology companies, including Helicos Biosciences which went on to IPO. Samir was also founding CEO of Codon Devices and led the Arabidopsis Genome Initiative at Craig Venter's Institute for Genomic Research.
In Today's Episode You Will Learn:
1.) How Samir made his way into the world of venture from the world of biotech and came to found one of the leading firms of the last decade?
2.) How did seeing the booms and busts of the last 2 decades impact Samir's investing mindset? Why does Samir think it is dangerous for a VC to have a "conservative mindset"? How does Samir analyse and think about upside maximisation when investing today? How does Samir think about when to sell your position and how to determine the right time?
3.) What does investment decision-making look like at Khosla? What are the criteria that re-investments are made upon? Why does Samir believe that pro-rata is a kop out? Which should be the core questions that determine whether to double down or not? How does Samir and the partnership think about time allocation across the portfolio?
4.) How does Samir approach the exercise of market sizing? Why does Samir never want to take a risk when it comes to market? Why does Samir want to maximise his risk when it comes to technological risk? How does Samir think through having to carry these deep tech companies for longer? What were his learnings from the clean tech days on this?
5.) How would Samir analyse his own price sensitivity today? What was his most formative inflexion moment as an investor? What did he learn from it? From a people side, who had the biggest impact on Samir as an investor? What were the core elements he learned from them? How does Samir deal with the element of self-doubt? How does he get through those moments?
Items Mentioned In Today's Show:
Samir's Fave Book: Start Something That Matters
Samir's Most Recent Investment: Lightship: Direct to Patient Clinical Trials
As always you can follow Harry, The Twenty Minute VC and Samir on Twitter here!
Likewise, you can follow Harry on Instagram here for mojito madness and all things 20VC.