10 Crypto Predictions for 2026: $1M BTC, Wall Street Onchain & ETF Takeover | Matt Hougan & Ryan Rasmussen from Bitwise
Bitwise’s Matt Hougan and Ryan Rasmussen return with 10 big predictions for 2026.
From the case for $1M BTC (and why the classic four-year cycle may be dead) to a world where ETFs soak up more than 100% of new BTC/ETH/SOL supply.
We get into Bitcoin volatility vs. mega-cap tech, crypto equities vs. tech equities, and why Polymarket could smash past its 2024 election-era highs.
Plus: stablecoins as an “escape valve” that emerging economies may blame for currency stress, on-chain also known as “ETFs 2.0,” and how the Clarity Act could be the starter’s gun for ETH and SOL to run.
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------
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Last Year Predictions
13:12 1. Bitcoin Breaks 4-Year Cycle
16:19 2. BTC Less Volatile Than NVDA
22:09 3. ETFs Purchasing New Supply of Crypto
30:02 4. Crypto Equities Outperforming Equities
37:23 5. Prediction Markets All-Time Highs
42:50 6. Stablecons Destabilizing Currencies
48:16 7. Onchain Vaults Doubling in AUM
52:56 8. Clarity Act Triggering ETH & Sol All-Time Highs
56:40 9. Ivy League Endowments Investing in Crypto
58:49 10. 100+ Crypto ETPs Launching
1:01:14 Bitwise Announcement
1:04:08 Bonus. Bitcoin Equity Correlation Falling
1:07:29 Progress in 2025
1:10:48 Cross-Generational Wealth Transfer?
1:13:02 Closing Thoughts & Disclaimers
------
RESOURCES
Matt Hougan
https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
Ryan Rasmussen
https://x.com/RasterlyRock
Bitwise
https://bitwiseinvestments.com/
------
Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Institutional Flows Will Overpower the 4-Year Cycle | Matt Hougan
This week, CIO of Bitwise Matt Hougan joins the show to discuss fading the power of the four-year cycle, the accelerating wave of institutional adoption, and whether Strategy selling its Bitcoin is a real risk. Matt also weighs in on the Santi-Haseeb L1 debate, balancing token value with investment, and what he thinks drives the next phase of growth. Enjoy!
—
Follow Matt: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
CIO Memo: https://bit.ly/4pK4gmC
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Follow Santi: https://x.com/santiagoroel
Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod
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This Empire episode is brought to you by VanEck.
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Timestamps
00:00 Intro
03:28 2026 vs The Four Year Cycle
05:06 Bitcoin Covered Call Strategy
07:44 The Case Against The 4-Year Cycle
11:14 Ads (Zcash, Katana)
12:31 Will Strategy Sell Its Bitcoin?
16:36 Inside The Institutional Mind
24:24 How Advisors Think About Crypto
27:40 The Best Stories In Crypto
30:23 Ads (Zcash, Katana)
31:39 Risk-First Investing
33:01 L1 Debate: Haseeb vs Santi
36:19 Balancing Token Value & Investment
40:16 Ads (VanEck, Uniswap)
41:58 Zcash & The Privacy Narrative
44:29 The Future Of ICOs
46:55 The Token-Equity Convergence
48:19 Final Thoughts
—
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Will Crypto ETFs Transform the Market? Expert Insights from Matt Hougan, Bitwise CIO
Are crypto ETFs set to reshape the investing landscape? Join us on The Defiant as we dive deep into the future of crypto assets, the evolving regulatory environment, and the rise of index-based investing. Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, shares his expert insights on what these changes mean for investors and how crypto ETFs could revolutionize access to digital assets.
Chapters:
00:00 The Defiant Intro
00:10 Why tariffs could be bullish for Bitcoin
00:41 Intro to Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise
01:35 The impact of U.S. interest rates on crypto markets
04:00 Tariffs and their effects on crypto
08:24 How USD fluctuations affect global crypto trends
10:15 Investor reactions to a weaker dollar
11:58 Bitcoin as a hedge against volatility
14:58 The role of traditional investors in driving Bitcoin’s price
20:54 Regulatory insights and which assets stand to gain
22:10 Crypto ETFs
24:50 What sets Bitwise apart in the crowded ETF space
26:52 The rise (and slow start) of Ethereum ETFs
29:00 How will ETH staking play into demand?
30:21 How will an ETH staking fund be structured?
32:30 Top crypto assets to watch for the next wave of ETFs
35:25 How index funds are influencing the future of crypto investing
36:50 Crypto native investors
38:38 Index funds and the SEC
40:11 Ethereum’s coming of age and shifting goals
43:45 What can get 1000x users on Ethereum?
46:28 Ethereum vs. Solana and the next big trends
48:31 Where and how different blockchains thrive
51:30 Predictions for 2025
53:10 Closing Remarks
Bitcoin to $200K+ This Year? These 2 Crypto Investors Think So - Ep. 817
The crypto markets are at a crossroads. While macro chaos — tariff whiplash, rising yields, and inflation fears — continues to dominate headlines, bitcoin has barely budged. And some say that’s exactly the signal.
In this episode, Matt Hougan of Bitwise and Matthew Sheffield of FalconX join Laura to unpack the tension between short-term volatility and long-term conviction. They explore why this cycle may look very different from previous ones, how institutional capital is navigating crypto, and whether we’re entering a new era defined by fundamentals, not just narratives.
Plus: Why bitcoin might hit $200K, what Ethereum needs to reclaim momentum, and the real potential of DeFi under this new administration.
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com
Thank you to our sponsors!
Bitwise
Human Rights Foundation
Guest:
Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise
Previous appearances on Unchained:
How Small Bitcoin ETF Issuers Will Compete With the Likes of BlackRock
Why a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Probably Launch No Later Than January 10
Matthew Sheffield, Senior Trader at FalconX
Links
Subscribe to our new crypto + macro newsletter! https://bitsandbips.beehiiv.com/subscribe
Recent coverage of Unchained on the economy and tariffs:
Why CoinFund Believes There’s Still a Strong Bull Case for Bitcoin and Crypto
Arthur Hayes on Why Tariffs Will Be Good for Bitcoin and Crypto
Bits + Bips: Why a U.S. Recession May Be Coming — And Still Isn’t Priced In
Bits + Bips: Trump’s Tariffs Are Causing Mayhem, But Will They Revive U.S. Manufacturing?
Trump Tariffs Sink Crypto, BlackRock Pumps Bitcoin’s Bags
Why Trump-Induced Stagflation Could Finally Make Bitcoin a Safe Haven
In Market Crash, What Should You Buy? Crypto VCs Are Making These Bets
Bitcoin Tops $83,000 as Tariff Pause Sends Markets Soaring
Crypto Traders See Another $1B Liquidated Amid Tariff Turbulence
Recession incoming?
Ray Dalio’s remarks on Meet the Press
Timestamps:
📍 0:00 Introduction
🧠 3:48 “An extraordinary moment to live in,” says Matt
⚖️ 5:21 The growing disconnect between long-term belief and short-term pain
🔍 7:40 Why fundamentals are finally taking center stage in investor analysis
🐻 12:34 Solana’s memecoin reputation… can it shake the stigma?
🏛️ 14:29 How ETFs permanently changed crypto market dynamics
📉 15:27 What the 10-year treasury is telling us about bitcoin’s next move
📊 20:28 What crypto options are revealing about investor sentiment
📈 22:33 Whether Ray Dalio is right about where the U.S. economy is headed
💵 28:16 What a weaker dollar means for bitcoin’s value
🚀 31:17 Is $200K bitcoin coming? And who will drive it there?
🌊 38:55 What has to happen for alt season to actually return
🔄 44:40 What light ETF outflows since “Liberation Day” mean
📈 51:10 Why crypto IPO demand is heating up
⚖️ 54:37 DeFi’s big regulatory moment and why the market might be missing it
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Top 10 Crypto x AI Predictions for 2025 | Bitwise's Matt Hougan & Ryan Rasmussen
2024 was a breakout year for crypto, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana outperforming traditional assets and spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting $31.7 billion in record inflows. Coinbase surged toward S&P 500 inclusion, stablecoins doubled, and tokenized real-world assets began their rise. Nations embraced Bitcoin as a reserve asset, and AI-driven memecoins fueled fresh mania.
Bitwise calls 2024 a prelude to 2025—a year poised to redefine crypto’s place in global finance.
Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan and Head of Research, Ryan Rasmussen join us to share Bitwise’s top 10 2025 Predictions. Trust us anon, you don’t want to miss this.
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------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/110?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E
------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 5:19 Summarizing 2024 8:58 Bitcoin, Ethereum, & Solana 2025 Price Targets 21:40 2025 Bitcoin ETF Flows 27:20 Coinbase Surpasses Charles Schwab 32:13 Year of the Crypto IPO 38:01 AI Agent Memecoin Mania 47:39 Countries Holding Bitcoin 53:14 Coinbase S&P 500 & MicroStrategy Nasdaq-100 56:54 Crypto 401(k)s 1:02:48 Stablecoin Assets Double 1:05:26 RWAs Surpasses $50B 1:09:12 Bonus Prediction: 2029 Bitcoin Price 1:12:32 Closing & Disclaimers
------ RESOURCES
Bitwise 2025 Predictions https://bitwiseinvestments.com/crypto-market-insights/the-year-ahead-10-crypto-predictions-for-2025
Matt Hougan https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
Ryan Rasmussen https://x.com/RasterlyRock
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
ETFs: Crypto's Path to ATHs in 2024 | Matt Hougan
Matt Hogan of Bitwise breaks down why crypto ETFs could be the catalyst for new all-time highs in 2024. He dissects institutional adoption trends, the potential impact of the U.S. election on crypto regulations, and strategies for positioning a portfolio this cycle. Discover why Bitcoin might hit $100K by the end of 2024, Ethereum could reach new heights, and how the crypto landscape is transforming with Wall Street's embrace. You don't want to miss this one!
- -
Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross and David Canellis.
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Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/
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Not investment advice or product solicitation and not aimed at US persons. https://re.al/rewards/airdrop/O4UNU
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Join the first quest by depositing CRO in the Cronos zkEVM bridge to receive zkCRO & loyalty points at mainnet launch, as well as a chance to win a part of a $30,000 zkCRO giveaway by depositing in the bridge.
Visit zkevm.cronos.org/bridge for more info
—
Timestamps:
(02:060 ETH ETF Expectations
(06:24) ETF Demand & Interests
(14:32) Diversified Crypto Portfolio
(20:24) When Institutions Buy BTC?
(25:31) What's Next for ETFs?
(29:04) Anoma ad
(30:05) Re.al Ad
(31:05) Cronos Ad
(32:03) Ava Labs Ad
(33:02) Election Impact on Crypto
(37:18) The Crypto Native Portfolio
(39:08) Ethereum's NASDAQ Trojan Horse
(48:18) Why aren't Prices at ATH
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
ETH ETFs Begin Trading | Matt Hougan
The ETH ETFs have officially launched, but wen $ETH moon?
We saw $1.1B in volume and $100M in inflows yesterday. Is that good? When will this factor into price?
Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise joins Ryan and David midway through the show to go over the above and also how the ETH ETF launch went, predictions going forward, and much more.
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------ TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES
0:00 Intro
2:35 ETH ETF Launch https://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/1815489137484722333 https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1815422061365305494 https://x.com/NateGeraci/status/1815487451726499864 https://x.com/Ashcryptoreal/status/1815677145810649151 https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1815737082129650047 https://x.com/RadarHits/status/1815674577726406748 https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1815737643948286104 https://x.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1815486131376370002 https://x.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1815716188447482341 https://x.com/QuintenFrancois/status/1815624631115460662 https://x.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1815486261337182504 https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/1815697566614655158
6:44 Matt Hougan Interview https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1815958023317205232 https://x.com/NateGeraci/status/1815885624467210263 https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1815958023317205232
33:02 Grayscale & Grayscale Minitrust: Wen Moon? https://x.com/JSeyff/status/1814347183522754773 https://x.com/Grayscale/status/1815688403381531021 https://x.com/NateGeraci/status/1815556927918600209
38:40 Hildobby Dune Board WIP https://dune.com/hildobby/eth-etfs
39:31 Bitcoin ETF Flows https://x.com/News_Of_Alpha/status/1815532026486776288 https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1815713932453028059
41:16 Bullish Setup Going into the Rollup tomorrow https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1815390176132186202 https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1815813380256719213 https://x.com/DavidFBailey/status/1815848521205178404
44:00 Closing & Disclaimers
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
ETH ETF: Bullish or Bearish? | Alex Thorn & Matt Hougan
Is the Ethereum ETF Bullish for ETH?
Matt Hougan and Alex Thorn put together their own analysis of inflows for the ETH ETF. Remarkably, their numbers came in somewhere close to the same place.
We discussed how much demand there will be for the ETH ETF, whether or not it will overperform or underperform expectations and the overall state of the Crypto Market today.
------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/24?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E
------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 2:18 When ETH ETF? 7:16 Data Gathering Process 13:59 The BTC ETF Datapoint 24:17 Estimating ETH ETF Inflows 42:19 Price Impact 52:36 The ETH ETF Bear Case 1:03:14 Solana ETF? 1:05:44 The State of the Market 1:13:53 Closing & Disclaimers
------ RESOURCES
Matt Hougan https://x.com/matt_hougan
Alex Thorn https://x.com/intangiblecoins
Bitwise https://bitwiseinvestments.com/
Galaxy Digital https://www.galaxy.com/
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Why the Ethereum ETF is Bullish $ETH | Matt Hougan of Bitwise
✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/zora:0x0c294913a7596b427add7dcbd6d7bbfc7338d53f/5 ------ Matt Hougan is the CIO at Bitwise, and has been one of the best people to talk to when it comes to understanding the ETF process, and the impact of ETFs on the crypto markets.
Today we dive into the specifics on what exactly the ETF approval means for ETH.
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⚖️ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum
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------ TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Intro 05:46 What Exactly Happened? 08:45 Was This Really Political? 12:11 Who's Responsible For This 16:46 Next Steps For ETF 20:36 Matt's ETF Story 22:44 ETF Price Impact 27:38 ETF Inflow Predictions 34:50 Explaining The ETH Narrative 38:23 Matt's 2 Minute Pitch 45:12 How Bitwise's Job Changes 49:01 ETH Charts 54:31 Legislation
------ RESOURCES Matt on X: https://x.com/Matt_Hougan
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
Why Spot Ether ETFs Are Now Likely to Be Approved on Thursday - Ep. 648
Just when everyone thought that spot Ether ETFs were going to be denied on Thursday, news broke Monday that they are now likely to be approved, with Bloomberg analysts tripling their odds to a 75% chance of approval.
Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Matt Hougan, CIO at Bitwise Asset Management, say this reversal definitely has to do with politics, citing the fight of Staff Accounting Bulletin 121, a rule that was unfriendly to financial institutions wanting to engage with crypto.
Plus, they delve into the reasons why Michael Sonnenshein stepped down as CEO of Grayscale after 10 years (hint: it has to do with GBTC), what the 13F filings revealed about who’s been buying the spot bitcoin ETFs since the beginning of the year, and what Vanguard’s incoming CEO, Salim Ramji, who was instrumental to getting BlackRock to launch its Bitcoin ETF, could mean for crypto’s future at the asset management firm.
Show highlights:
Why Eric believes the ether ETFs will be approved
Why Matt thinks the Bitcoin ETFs set off a "complete sea change in Washington around crypto"
Whether the spot Ether ETFs will be approved with or without staking
Who the authorized participants and other behind-the-scenes players in the ether ETFs will be
When the ETH ETFs could start trading and why Eric believes they won't be as successful as Bitcoin ETFs
What the 13F filings revealed about the spot Bitcoin ETFs buyers and why their identities are "stunning"
Why Michael Sonnenshein stepped down as CEO of Grayscale
Grayscale’s new mini ETF, BTC
Whether Vanguard's new CEO appointment could mean a change in attitude by the asset management firm towards crypto
What a buffered ETF is and why they could be significant
Matt's prediction for the BTC price
Their outlook on the future of ETFs and developments in the space
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com
Thank you to our sponsors!
Polkadot
VaultCraft
Guests:
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management
Previous appearances on Unchained:
How Small Bitcoin ETF Issuers Will Compete With the Likes of BlackRock
Why a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Probably Launch No Later Than January 10
Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence
Previous appearances on Unchained:
How, in 7 Weeks, Bitcoin ETFs Reached Inflows That Took Gold ETFs 3 Years
Why Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are Likely to Finally Start Trading on Thursday
Will a Spot Bitcoin ETF Finally Get Approved?
Links
Ether ETFs
Unchained: Analysts Up Odds of Spot Ether ETF to 75% as Prometheum Launches Product That Treats ETH as a Security
CoinDesk: Ether ETFs Filing Process Sees Abrupt Progress, Though Approval Not Guaranteed: Sources
The Block: Fidelity files amended S-1 registration statement, removing staking rewards from prospective Ethereum ETF
SAB 121
Bloomberg: As Bitcoin Rallies, Banks Are Pushing US Regulators to Change Crypto Guidance
Unchained: Senate Votes to Kill SAB 121 Custody Bill: How Crypto Became So Political
13F Filings
Unchained: Large Institutions Betting Big on Bitcoin ETFs Revealed in SEC Filings
Leadership changes
CoinDesk: Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein Steps Down, to Be Replaced by TradFi Veteran
WSJ: Meet Salim Ramji, Who Is Going to Oversee the Retirement Assets of Tens of Millions of Americans
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
When Ethereum ETF? | Matt Hougan & Ryan Rasmussen of Bitwise
The Bitcoin ETF was a huge win for Crypto. What’s next? Will an Ethereum ETF be approved?
We brought Matt Hougan & Ryan Rasmussen of Bitwise to explore exactly that.
We go through what made the BTC ETF so successful, what we need to replicate the process for Ethereum and what comes after the ETH ETF.
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🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2
🔗CELO | CEL2 COMING SOON https://bankless.cc/Celo
🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT SOLUTION https://bankless.cc/toku
🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle
💸 CRYPTO TAX CALCULATOR | USE CODE BANK30 https://bankless.cc/CTC
🦄 UNISWAP | SWAP SMARTER https://bankless.cc/uniswap
------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 6:50 Bitcoin ETFs So Far 10:40 BTC ETF 2nd Acceleration 22:56 Crypto Default Allocation 26:31 Who’s Buying the BTC ETF? 28:59 Bitcoin vs Gold 36:46 When ETH ETF? 46:39 Forces at Play 53:25 ETH ETF Derivatives 58:38 ETH ETF Price Impact 1:02:10 ETH Narratives 1:08:31 What’s Next 1:12:02 Closing Thoughts
------ RESOURCES
Matt Hougan https://twitter.com/Matt_Hougan
Ryan Rasmussen https://twitter.com/RasterlyRock
Bitwise https://bitwiseinvestments.com/
------ Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.
Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets.
See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
How the ETF Impacts Bitcoin's Price | Matt Hougan & Eric Balchunas
In today's episode Jason is joined by ETF celebrities Eric Balchunas, a senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, and Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer for Bitwise Asset Management. They start off by discussing the criticisms around underwhelming trading volumes and put the declines in GBTC into context. Discussion then leads to an inside scoop on how authorized participants source liquidity for the ETF and the real costs involved in running these funds. They also dive into how advisors are rethinking portfolio construction given crypto’s changing risk profile and the potential impacts on Bitcoin price. To close out they discuss the potential timing of an Ethereum ETF approval. Enjoy!
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Use the link below to learn more, and use EMPIRE10 to get 10% off your ticket! Sign up now because the price goes up every month. See you there!
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Follow Matt: https://twitter.com/Matt_Hougan
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Timestamps:
(01:46) The ETF Guys & Free Milkshakes
(04:05) BTC ETF Underwhelming?
(12:13) The ETF Launch Process
(18:49) Costs of an ETF Service
(22:10) What does Buying an ETF Mean?
(30:31) Wormhole Ad
(31:57) Paypal Ad
(32:55) Impact of ETF Flows on Bitcoin Price
(36:56) Role of Bitcoin in Portfolios
(47:15) Eth ETF Predictions
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
How Small Bitcoin ETF Issuers Will Compete With the Likes of BlackRock - Ep. 595
Thursday was a momentous day in crypto as the first SEC-approved spot Bitcoin ETFs finally began trading after more than a decade of waiting, and by almost all accounts, it was a huge success, with more than $625 million in inflows on the first day of trading.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and VanEck head of digital assets research Matthew Sigel joined Unchained to discuss their approaches towards selling their products in the market, the challenges of competing with larger firms like BlackRock and Fidelity, the fee wars and where those are headed, the importance of specialist expertise in the crypto investment space, and how Bitcoin prices might react to all the new supply in the market.
Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Fountain, Overcast, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Pandora, Castbox, Google Podcasts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform.
Show highlights:
Why Matt Hougan regards the first week as a massive success for Bitcoin
How Matthew Sigel emphasizes the costs and benefits ETFs offer to retail investors
The strategic marketing approaches of VanEck and Bitwise aligning with Bitcoin community values
The reasons for Bitwise's standout performance in the first days of trading, according to Matt
Whether the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs will reshape the broader ETF landscape
Matt's perspective on why some financial institutions resist Bitcoin, and their eventual openness to crypto
Whether the established players in finance feel threatened by the rise of open source technologies
Whether Gary Gensler’s statement after the approval is “totally crazy”
Why data for the various ETFs in the market should be analyzed on a weekly or monthly basis
The ongoing fee competition and how smaller entities can compete against giants like BlackRock and Fidelity
Grayscale's strategies to remain competitive with higher fees and the possibility of launching a new, low-fee ETF
How investment advisors might adapt to these new crypto products and the potential for mainstream adoption
Matthew’s predictions for when BTC investors, both short-term and long-term, will take profits
Why they are both closely monitoring Ethereum's performance and the prospects for a spot ether ETF in the market
Thank you to our sponsors!
Arbitrum Foundation
Popcorn Network
Guests:
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management
Previous appearances on Unchained: Why a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Probably Launch No Later Than January 10
Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck.
Links
Previous coverage of Unchained on spot Bitcoin ETFs:
Why Some Brokerage Firms Are Blocking Access to Spot Bitcoin ETFs
Why Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are Likely to Finally Start Trading on Thursday
Why the SEC May Want Cash Creation of Spot Bitcoin ETFs
Why It Looks Like BlackRock Could Win America’s First Spot Bitcoin ETF
Will a Spot Bitcoin ETF Finally Get Approved?
The 4 Factors That Will Determine Which Spot Bitcoin ETFs Win Market Share
How Much Money Will Flow Into Bitcoin ETFs? Here’s One Projection
Approval:
Unchained:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Finally Receive SEC Seal of Approval
What Officials, ETF Issuers, and Others Are Saying About the SEC's Spot Bitcoin ETF Approvals
Laura Shin’s op-ed on Unchained: Why Spot Bitcoin ETFs Are (But Mostly Aren't) a Big Deal for Crypto
David Z. Morris’ op-ed on Unchained: The SEC’s Bumbling Bitcoin ETF Rollout Was Perfectly On-Brand
First days of trading
Unchained:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs Record $4.6 Billion First Day Trading Volume
Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Topped $625 Million on First Day in ‘Phenomenal’ Debut, Led by Bitwise
Vanguard Isn’t Allowing Customers to Buy Spot Bitcoin ETFs
Visit Unchained for more links and details
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The Real Impact of Bitcoin ETFs on Markets: Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan
Matt Hougan is the CIO of Bitwise, which is a crypto index fund manager and one of the issuers of Bitcoin ETFs. Hougan is a renowned figure in the financial sector, known for his expertise in cryptocurrency and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In our conversation we get into Matt's initial reaction to the BTC ETF launch, the expected inflows for 2024, and the often underestimated impacts of these developments. We also discuss unique Vanguard's stance, the evolution of Bitcoin ETFs, why Bitwise maintains the lowest fees, Matt Hougan's background, possibility of Ethereum ETFs, and the growing understanding of Ethereum in traditional finance. Finally, we touch upon the centralization risks of Bitcoin, the future of Bitcoin ETFs, and Bitcoin price forecast.
0:00 Intro
0:46 Initial thoughts on BTC ETF launch
2:17 Inflows for 2024
4:37 Underestimated impact
8:11 Vanguard is goofy
9:40 Self sovereignty
12:30 History of Bitcoin ETFs
16:53 Why Bitwise has the lowest fees
20:20 Matt Hougan's background
23:10 ETF hate
26:45 Crypto ETFs
29:08 Ethereum ETF
31:07 TradFi understand Ethereum better than Bitcoin
36:30 Normalizing Bitcoin
42:00 Centralization risk of Bitcoin
45:47 What's next for Bitcoin ETFs
47:20 We're in a bull market
48:40 Bitcoin price forecast
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Why a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Probably Launch No Later Than January 10 - Ep. 560
James Seyffart, market analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, and Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise Asset Management, feel quite certain a spot Bitcoin ETF will launch in the next few months.
First, the SEC decided not to appeal a court’s rejection of Grayscale’s application to convert its bitcoin trust to a spot ETF. Second, there’s been a change in the way the SEC has been treating the many other spot Bitcoin ETF applications—requesting miniscule tweaks in disclosure language. And even though other legal hiccups are occurring—the NY Attorney General’s lawsuit against Grayscale parent company, DCG, the SEC’s potentially renewed vigor in the Ripple case, and Cointelegraph’s incorrect tweet about a bitcoin ETF—the SEC needs a PR win right now. According to them, this means good things not just for spot Bitcoin ETFs but also, shortly thereafter, Ethereum ETFs.
Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Overcast, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Stitcher, Castbox, Google Podcasts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform.
Show highlights:
why the SEC did not appeal a decision in the Grayscale case
whether the NYAG lawsuit against DGC, the parent company of Grayscale, will affect the prospects for GBTC being converted into an ETF
how likely it is that GBTC will be converted into an ETF and what needs to happen for that to occur
why the SEC probably wants Grayscale to "completely refile," according to James
why the recent changes in the ETF applications are "relatively modest," according to Matt
whether the incorrect Cointelegraph tweet about a spot bitcoin ETF will be used by the SEC to bolster its market manipulation argument
an overview of the deadlines of the different applications
what happened at the launch of Ethereum futures ETFs and how it was different from the launch of Bitcoin futures ETFs
whether the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF will pave the way for a spot ether ETF
what the impact is of all the negative PR for the SEC and Chair Gary Gensler after losing many cases
what the differences between the various ETFs are and how they will compete in the market
Lightning round questions: volumes after launch, inflows in the first year, projections for BTC price
Thank you to our sponsors!
Crypto.com
LayerZero
Popcorn Network
Guests:
James Seyffart, Research analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence
Previous appearance on Unchained: Why It Looks Like BlackRock Could Win America’s First Spot Bitcoin ETF
Matthew Hougan, CIO of Bitwise
Previous appearances on Unchained:
The 2 Types of Investors Driving Interest in Crypto
Bitwise’s Latest Plans to Get a Bitcoin ETF Approved
Links
ETFs:
Previous coverage of Unchained on ETFs:
Does Grayscale’s Win Against the SEC Mean a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Be Approved?
Grayscale v. SEC: Who Won This Week’s Hearing?
Why Grayscale Is Suing the SEC Over Its Denial of a Bitcoin ETF
$5 Billion in AUM: Why Growth at Grayscale Exploded in the Last Quarter
Bitwise’s Latest Plans to Get a Bitcoin ETF Approved
DCG’s Dilemma: Should It Sell Its GBTC Holdings to Repay Gemini?
Unchained:
Bitcoin Surges to $30K After False Spot ETF Approval Tweet
Ethereum Futures ETFs See ‘Average’ First Day Trading Volumes
Cointelegraph: Clarification on sharing false spot Bitcoin ETF news
Redeem GBTC 🌽 Campaign
Ripple:
SEC Drops Charges Against Ripple CEO and Chairman - Unchained Crypto
Market manipulation
CNET: 23-year-old arrested in Emulex hoax
SEC Charges Avraham Eisenberg with Manipulating Mango Markets’ “Governance Token” to Steal $116 Million of Crypto Assets
NYAG lawsuit:
NY Attorney General Sues Crypto Firms Gemini, Genesis, and DCG for Over $1 Billion Fraud
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The Bull Case for Crypto ETFs | Matt Hougan & Hunter Horsley
In today's episode of Empire Jason and Santi are joined by Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley and CIO Matt Hougan to dive into the world of ETFs. They discuss the early skepticism and misconceptions around ETFs, why a Bitcoin ETF approval could be transformative for crypto adoption and maturity, the layers of security and regulation with ETFs, and the potential timeline and sequence for crypto ETF products. They close out by exploring how an ETF could boost crypto's credibility and accessibility for traditional investors and revisiting the bull case for Coinbase.
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Follow Hunter: https://twitter.com/HHorsley
Follow Matt: https://twitter.com/Matt_Hougan
Follow Jason: https://twitter.com/JasonYanowitz
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Timestamps:
(00:00) False ETF News
(02:30) What is an ETF?
(09:03) Market Manipulation in Crypto
(14:52) Investment Reality in Crypto
(21:47) Who Wins if ETFs are Approved?
(29:52) Regulatory Concerns for ETFs
(35:15) Toku Ad
(36:30) Voting and Delegate Structure of ETFs
(40:26) Safety and Reporting of Crypto ETFs
(46:43) Timeline and Sequence of ETF Types for Crypto
(53:52) Can Crypto Change ETFs?
(56:35) Coinbase Thesis
--
Resources
Bitwise ETFs
https://blockworks.co/news/0xresearch-bitwise-spot-bitcoin-etf
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Bitwise CIO on the next wave of institutional capital moving into DeFi
In this episode of Empire Jason is joined by Matt Hougan the Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management. Jason and Matt discuss how an ETF would benefit financial advisors, DeFi innovation, future outlook for the space and incoming regulation.
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Follow me on Twitter @JasonYanowitz and let me know what you thought of the show!
SotN #36: DeFi Crypto Index For Financial Advisors | Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan
Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, joins Bankless for this week's State of the Nation!
Founded in 2017, Bitwise Asset Management pioneered the first cryptocurrency index fund and provides rules-based exposure to the cryptoasset space. Learn about Bitwise's newest product, their DeFi Crypto Index Fund.
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------ SotN #36: Bitwise DeFi Crypto Index | CIO Matt Hougan
Bitwise is connecting DeFi assets to the world of ‘big money.’ Matt Hougan is CIO (Chief Investment Officer) of Bitwise, and before moving into the crypto space, he pioneered the ETF investment vehicles in the world of traditional finance.
Matt, with his dog by his side, posits that there are three ‘buckets’ of wealth in America where capital is pooled. The first is ‘Self-Directed Retail Investors,’ who has bootstrapped crypto from the ground up. The second is ‘Institutional Investors,’ including Venture Capital Firms, Endowments, Foundations, and other large funds. The third – and most neglected – is capital under the ‘Financial Advisor’ umbrella. This is where the 1%-er money is, and this bucket is just now gaining access to the crypto space.
The Financial Advisor bucket holds $30-$40 Trillion in assets, and the minds in this space are changing as crypto is increasingly legitimized through improving infrastructure and the strong recovery from the 2017 cycle. Building efficient vehicles to bridge this wealth into crypto is critical for large-scale adoption.
This is where Bitwise comes in. Bitwise manages around $1 Billion in assets and created the first Crypto Index Fund, offering a variety of products to retail investors, accredited investors, and financial advisors. Most recently, Bitwise launched its DeFi Crypto Index Fund, exposing financial advisors to the world of DeFi. Analogues to Legacy Finance like Price-to-Earnings Ratios and Cash Flows make DeFi compelling and understandable, but DeFi is showing itself to be “cheaper, more efficient, more open, more transparent, [and] more verifiable.”
------ RELEVANT LINKS:
Matt on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Matt_Hougan?s=20
Bitwise: https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com/
Matt's CFA Report on Cryptoassets: https://www.cfainstitute.org/-/media/documents/article/rf-brief/rfbr-cryptoassets.ashx
Makerburn https://makerburn.com/#/
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----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.
Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/bankless-disclosures
Bitwise's Latest Plans to Get a Bitcoin ETF Approved - Ep.143
Hunter Horsley, cofounder and CEO of Bitwise Asset Management, and Matt Hougan, global head of research at Bitwise, describe their vision for Bitwise, its current funds and indices, as well as how it handles things like forks and airdrops. Then they give their reaction to and interpretation of the SEC disapproval of their Bitcoin ETF proposal, as well as what their focus will be now to try to get a Bitcoin ETF approved. We also discuss their general thesis around how the crypto space will develop, whether or not indices and funds around the top 100 assets will ever make sense, their ideas on how to value these networks and whether or not the company would ever try to compete in the DeFi space. Plus, don't miss our conversation on Bitcoin IRAs.
Thank you to our sponsors!
Crypto.com: http://crypto.com/
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CipherTrace: https://ciphertrace.com/unchained
Episode links:
Bitwise: https://www.bitwiseinvestments.com/
Hunter Horsley: https://twitter.com/HHorsley
Matt Hougan: https://twitter.com/Matt_Hougan
Unchained interview with Spencer Bogart: https://unchainedpodcast.com/spencer-bogart-on-the-20-trillion-in-store-of-value-assets/
Bitwise 10 Private Fund fact sheet: https://static.bitwiseinvestments.com/FactSheet/bitwise10/Bitwise-10-Private-Index-Fund-Investor-Class-Fact-Sheet.pdf
Bitwise 10 Offshore Index Fund: https://static.bitwiseinvestments.com/FactSheet/bitwise10-offshore/Bitwise-10-Index-Offshore-Fund-Investor-Fact-Sheet.pdf
Grayscale Bitcoin Investment Trust: https://grayscale.co/bitcoin-trust/
Bitwise Ethereum Fund: https://static.bitwiseinvestments.com/FactSheet/ethereumFund/Bitwise-Ethereum-Fund-Investor-Class-Fact-Sheet.pdf
SEC order disapproving the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF proposal: https://www.sec.gov/rules/sro/nysearca/2019/34-87267.pdf
Matt on CNBC discussing the Bitcoin ETF proposal: https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1181309471349526530?s=20
Bitstamp/BitMEX trading manipulation: https://twitter.com/DoveyWan/status/1129246233917382656
Jake Chervinsky’s tweet about how the SEC is unlikely to approve a Bitcoin ETF under Chair Jay Clayton: https://twitter.com/jchervinsky/status/1182149164177608704?s=20
Unchained interview with Jake: https://unchainedpodcast.com/all-things-crypto-regulation-with-jake-chervinsky/
SEC commissioner Hester Peirce’s dissent to the disapproval of the Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF: https://www.sec.gov/news/public-statement/peirce-dissent-34-83723
Van Eck’s withdrawal of the Bitcoin ETF proposal: https://www.coindesk.com/vaneck-solidx-withdraw-bitcoin-etf-proposal-from-sec-review
Chris Burniske on how to value these networks: https://unchainedpodcast.com/how-to-value-a-crypto-asset/
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