Inside the Private Stock Market Boom: SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI & the Rise of Secondaries
(0:00) Brad Gerstner, Gavin Baker, and Kelly Rodriques join the Besties!
(0:47) Secondary Markets are Booming & Competing with IPOs
(3:10) Why Companies are Staying Private So Long?
(9:22) SPVs, the Forge-Schwab Deal, Democratizing Private Market Access
(13:28) Secondary Markets as Exit Liquidity for VCs
(27:00) The Private Market Bubble?
(32:03) Hottest Secondary Companies Right Now
Thanks to our partners for making this possible!
EY - Agentic AI is introducing a new investment discipline. As AI shifts to consumption-based models, EY connects spend to enterprise value.
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NYSE - Thank you to our partner, the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE.
https://www.nyse.com
Plaud - Never miss a moment. Plaud, our official wearable AI note-taking partner at All-In Liquidity Summit, captured every insight.
https://www.plaud.ai
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Intro Music Credit:
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https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Anthropic's $30B Ramp, Mythos Doomsday, OpenClaw Ankled, Iran War Ceasefire, Israel's Influence
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins the show!
(4:22) Anthropic blocks Mythos release for security concerns: serious or marketing stunt?
(24:07) Are OpenAI and Anthropic trying to kill OpenClaw? Does Anthropic already have market dominance in AI coding?
(42:20) Anthropic $30B run rate, fastest revenue ramp ever, the TAM for intelligence
(58:01) Major vibe shift: Anthropic ripping, OpenAI reeling
(1:10:12) Iran War: Ceasefire, Israel's influence, market impact
Apply for Summit 2026:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INGOC6-LLv0
https://openai.com/index/better-language-models
https://cdn.openai.com/better-language-models/language_models_are_unsupervised_multitask_learners.pdf
https://x.com/steipete/status/2040811558427648357
https://x.com/juliusai/status/2041292301234999668
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/IGV:BATS
https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-119
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116351998782539414
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116363336033995961
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116365796713313030
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/politics/trump-iran-war.html
https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/03/secretary-of-state-marco-rubio-remarks-to-press-6
Iran War, Oil Shock, Off Ramps, AI's Revenue Explosion and PR Nightmare
(0:00) The Besties welcome Brad Gerstner!
(3:48) Economic fallout of the Iran War, escalation scenarios, impact on midterms
(19:18) Off ramp strategies, Gulf state involvement, the China angle
(27:05) Anthropic and OpenAI scaling revenue faster than any company ever
(46:11) AI's PR disaster, open source's future
(1:07:51) Washington passes "Millionaire Tax," Howard Schultz bails for Miami
Follow Brad:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BZW00:NYMEX
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/11/cargo-ship-struck-strait-of-hormuz-uk-iran-war.html
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/iran-war-us-israel-trump-03-12-26?post-id=cmmnhwyod000l3b6wdinc1dw5
https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/ending-iran-war-quickly-carries-big-risks-for-the-u-s-and-allies-60c003de
https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by
https://x.com/altcap/status/2029223717356879931
https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/iea-proposes-largest-ever-oil-release-from-strategic-reserves-275f4e5c
https://www.wsj.com/opinion/iran-war-oil-operation-epic-fury-mojtaba-khamenei-0d2edb9c
https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/iran-war-us-israel-trump-03-12-26
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2031827082934665293
https://polymarket.com/event/balance-of-power-2026-midterms
https://polymarket.com/event/march-inflation-us-annual
https://www.ft.com/content/7cab4ec7-4712-4137-b602-119a44f771de
https://www.axios.com/2025/05/28/ai-jobs-white-collar-unemployment-anthropic
https://www.axios.com/2026/03/06/pentagon-anthropic-amodei-apology
https://www.ft.com/content/97bda2ef-fc06-40b3-a867-f61a711b148b
https://x.com/WallStreetMav/status/2032115119879045512
https://x.com/TheChiefNerd/status/2032012809433723158
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/poll-majority-voters-say-risks-ai-outweigh-benefits-rcna262196
https://hai.stanford.edu/news/most-read-the-stanford-hai-stories-that-defined-ai-in-2025
https://x.com/DrTechlash/status/2030734402339365220
https://www.semafor.com/article/12/07/2025/ai-critics-funded-ai-coverage-at-top-newsrooms
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/howard-schultz-starbucks-ceo-leaving-seattle-washington-millionaire-tax/
https://www.politico.com/story/2019/02/13/howard-schultz-2020-taxes-1167363
https://x.com/chamath/status/2032135944284094910
https://www.hoover.org/research/net-present-value-billionaire-tax-act-assessment-fiscal-effects-californias-proposed
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/mapped-which-u-s-states-gained-the-most-residents-in-2025
https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-and-khanna-introduce-legislation-to-tax-billionaire-wealth-and-invest-in-working-families
Epstein Files, Is SaaS Dead?, Moltbook Panic, SpaceX xAI Merger, Trump's Fed Pick
(0:00) Besties intros: Brad Gerstner joins the show
(3:16) Epstein Files
(15:45) SaaS stocks crash out
(35:11) Moltbook panic
(47:37) Trump selects Kevin Warsh as new Fed Chair, replacing Jerome Powell
(1:00:50) SpaceX and xAI merge
(1:10:45) Brad's major win with Trump Accounts
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/05/business/epstein-investments-palantir-coinbase-thiel.html
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/article214210674.html
https://nypost.com/2026/01/31/us-news/linkedin-founder-reid-hoffmans-emails-with-jeffrey-epstein-revealed-in-doj-docs
https://freebeacon.com/democrats/skype-sushi-and-a-phone-date-democratic-megadonor-reid-hoffman-maintained-jeffrey-epstein-relationship-years-after-he-said-it-ended
https://nypost.com/2026/02/02/business/jeffrey-epstein-boasted-about-wild-dinner-with-mark-zuckerberg-reid-hoffman-in-unsealed-2015-email
https://x.com/stockpickerspb/status/2009363916573290715
https://www.moltbook.com
https://x.com/galnagli/status/2017573842051334286
https://x.com/balajis/status/1937517664907460980
https://www.reuters.com/world/india/gold-rises-over-1-geopolitical-economic-tensions-lift-precious-metals-2026-02-05
https://x.com/truflation/status/2019409671212396815
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-january-job-cuts-surge-lowest-january-hiring-on-record
https://www.reuters.com/business/world-at-work/ups-amazon-boost-us-planned-layoffs-january-challenger-survey-shows-2026-02-05
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/03/musk-xai-spacex-biggest-merger-ever.html
https://polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above
Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option
(0:00) Brad Gerstner joins the show!
(0:49) OpenAI's rough week: Altman's controversial comments on BG2, CFO's "federal backstop" faux pas, clarifications
(18:33) Why Jensen Huang said "China is going to win the AI race."; the need for a federal framework on AI
(30:39) OpenAI's strengths and headwinds: breakout product, trust issues, competition, betting on the AI supercycle
(36:47) Holiday party announcement! allin.com/events for tickets
(39:19) State of the market, consumer is cracking, need for domestic/"main street" wins, is Trump losing the middle class?
(1:05:58) Zohran wins NYC, socialism's rise in America, solutions, should Republicans end the filibuster?
Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/alphabet-google-q3-earnings.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/29/meta-q3-earnings-report-2025.html
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-05/apple-plans-to-use-1-2-trillion-parameter-google-gemini-model-to-power-new-siri
https://www.wsj.com/video/openai-wants-federal-backstop-for-new-investments/4F6C864C-7332-448B-A9B4-66C321E60FE7
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7392049356012507136/
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1986476840207122440
https://x.com/sama/status/1986514377470845007
https://www.ft.com/content/53295276-ba8d-4ec2-b0de-081e73b3ba43
https://x.com/nvidianewsroom/status/1986221177099194484
https://www.aipanic.news/p/the-ai-existential-risk-industrial
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LES1252881600Q
https://x.com/MorningBrew/status/1986464568470888935
https://x.com/chamath/status/1986076707196162068
https://polymarket.com/event/new-york-city-mayoral-election
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2025-elections/new-york-city-mayor-results
https://x.com/JDVance/status/1986099131845136594
https://x.com/houmanhemmati/status/1980499276229931034
Trump Brokers Gaza Peace Deal, National Guard in Chicago, OpenAI/AMD, AI Roundtripping, Gold Rally
(0:00) Bestie intros: Welcome back Brad Gerstner!
(2:48) Israel-Hamas ceasefire, how Trump and his team got the deal done
(13:27) National Guard sent to Chicago to protect ICE Agents
(44:02) OpenAI's deal with AMD, state of the "AI Bubble"
(1:05:45) Circular AI deals: cause for concern or no big deal?
(1:15:00) What's behind the Gold rally?
(1:20:38) Polymarket receives $2B investment from NYSE owner ICE, future of prediction markets
Follow Brad:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115340993884364431
https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1972726021196562494
https://x.com/JasonJournoDC/status/1976080696209760487
https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2005/05/23/israels-lawyer/7ab0416c-9761-4d4a-80a9-82b7e15e5d22
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/10/09/gaza-ceasefire-deal-trump-nobel-prize
https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1976307397099471229
https://polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31?tid=1760021581013
https://www.newsweek.com/ice-rappel-black-hawk-helicopters-chicago-10809228
https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/depts/mayor/press_room/press_releases/2025/october/city-property-executive-order.html
https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/10/chicago-mayors-ice-free-zones-shield-violent-criminal-illegals-abandon-citizens
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1965294885373947928
https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1972716966831120601
https://x.com/unlimited_ls/status/1975302286969631204
https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-boost-cities-crime-crackdown-10840101
https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2025/08/20/dc-poll-trump-crime-police/
https://marylandmatters.org/2025/09/05/moore-orders-state-police-to-assist-baltimore-cops-in-crime-reduction-efforts
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook-remaking-government/2025/04/28/musk-and-doge-have-a-poll-problem-00313461
https://x.com/wallstreetapes/status/1976030014614421936
https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1976020869752508907
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-amd-deal-ai-chips-ed92cc42
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tether-gold-xaut-hits-1b-080222337.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/nyse-owner-intercontinental-exchange-2-billion-polymarket-stake.html
https://polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-us-go-live-in-2025?tid=1760113275545
Dara Khosrowshahi, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jason Calacanis on Uber's growth and future | E1878
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Today’s show:
Dara Khosrowshahi joins Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, and Jason Calacanis to discuss his initial reservations about joining Uber and how he overcame them (14:57), the early magic of Uber that captivated investors (22:36), a deep dive into Uber's future plans (45:50), and much more!
*
Timestamps:
(0:00) Dara Khosrowshahi joins Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jason Calacanis to discuss all things Uber
(2:41) Setting the stage for Uber entering 2024
(4:52) Untold parts of Uber's story
(09:38) Gusto - Get three months free when you run your first payroll at http://www.Gusto.com/twist
(11:38) Bill Gurley discusses Dara's selection as CEO
(14:57) Dara's initial reservations about joining Uber and how he overcame them
(20:57) Dara’s discomfort in the free-money environment of ZIRP
(21:43) Paintbrush - Visit http://www.getpaintbrush.com to see if you qualify for a $50K startup loan in less than 2 minutes
(22:36) Exploring the early magic of Uber that captivated investors
(26:27) How valuations impact founder mindset
(30:49) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/twist
(32:17) Discussing the relevance of secondaries in the near future
(35:02) Breaking down some Uber myths and Dara’s focus on drivers
(45:50) A deep dive into Uber's future plans
(51:31) Uber’s strategy with upselling as AI enters the conversation
(58:04) Bill Gurley on joining Zillow’s board and how innovation is needed in the real estate industry
(1:05:27) Brad Gerstner on markets
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LINKS:
Silicon Valley clip referenced:
https://twitter.com/StephNass/status/1745132141652877788
*
Thanks to our partners:
(09:38) Gusto - Get three months free when you run your first payroll at http://www.Gusto.com/twist
*Gusto pricing shown in ad is based on pricing prior to March 2025
(21:43) Paintbrush - Visit http://www.getpaintbrush.com to see if you qualify for a $50K startup loan in less than 2 minutes
(30:49) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://www.Squarespace.com/twist
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X:
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/dkhos
https://twitter.com/altcap
https://twitter.com/bgurley
LinkedIn:
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*
Great 2023 interviews: Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland
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Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis
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Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jason Calacanis on the state of tech markets, hosted by David Weisburd | E1875
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Squarespace. Turn your idea into a new website! Go to Squarespace.com/TWIST for a free trial. When you’re ready to launch, use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain.
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Today’s show:
Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, and Jason Calacanis join David Weisburd to discuss the market downturn's impact on startups, including shutdowns and shifting investment strategies (1:29). They also debate the AI boom (54:50), chatbots' future potential and hype (1:01:11), and which tech giants may perform best or worst in 2024 (1:20:32).
*
Timestamps:
(0:00) David Weisburd hosts Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner, & Jason Calacanis to discuss the state of tech markets
(1:29) Startup shutdowns in 2023 vs dotcom crash
(3:52) Perspective on current market from Bill Gurley
(7:52) Brad's outlook on startup shutdowns continuing in 2024
(11:48) OpenPhone - Get 20% off your first six months at https://openphone.com/twist
(13:16) Different investor perspectives based on investment stage
(16:47) Altimeter's recent investing activity
(25:32) DevSquad - Get an entire product team for the cost of one US developer plus 10% off at http://devsquad.com/twist
(26:30) Reflecting on past IPOs and paths to building businesses for growth
(36:40) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://Squarespace.com/twist
(38:07) State of Series B/C deals in 2023 vs 2021 peak
(42:42) Why now is a great time to start a company
(47:17) Jason's theories for success in venture
(49:42) Abundance of technical talent in Silicon Valley and impact of AI on company size and competition
(54:50) AI investments in 2024
(1:01:11) Launguage models raising large rounds quickly and the potential for LLMs to hit a ceiling soon
(1:05:18) The best case for Meta being a leader in AI and Apple's position
(1:08:55) Importance of voice recognition for AI interfaces, challenges of enabling transactions via AI, and consumers choosing services via AI
(1:20:32) Picks for best and worst performing tech giants in 2024
*
LINKS:
Unicorn Investors article: https://news.crunchbase.com/venture/top-unicorn-investors-eoy-2023/
Bill Gurley's Above the Crowd article: https://abovethecrowd.com/2011/05/24/all-revenue-is-not-created-equal-the-keys-to-the-10x-revenue-club/
*
Follow David
X: https://twitter.com/DWeisburd
David's Podcast: https://limitedpartnerpodcast.com/
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Follow Brad
X: https://twitter.com/altcap
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Follow Jason:
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Great 2023 interviews: Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland
*
Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis
*
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E141: State of Series A's, VC dry powder, IPO window opens + more with Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros: Friedberg's bad haircut
(1:17) Welcome BG^2! Biography recommendations and film talk
(22:27) VC market update: State of Series A's
(33:43) Dry powder misconceptions, marking incentives
(48:57) IPO window starting to open, IPO down rounds, incentives to go public
(1:03:17) Cyclical venture cycles, managing distributions, benchmarking VC performance vs public market
(1:22:26) Tragic Maui wildfires, extreme temperatures
(1:26:11) Macro picture: inflation cools, deflation risk?
Follow the besties:
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https://twitter.com/bgurley
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://youtu.be/xmYekD6-PZ8
https://www.amazon.com/Setting-Table-Transforming-Hospitality-Business/dp/0060742755
https://www.amazon.com/Steve-Jobs-Walter-Isaacson/dp/147770146X
https://www.amazon.com/Elon-Musk-Spanish-Walter-Isaacson/dp/B0CBTHK86N
https://www.amazon.com/Good-Great-Some-Companies-Others/dp/0066620996
https://www.amazon.com/Man-Arena-Selected-Writings-Roosevelt/dp/0765306700
https://www.amazon.com/Shoe-Dog-Memoir-Creator-Nike/dp/1501135910
https://www.amazon.com/Alexander-Hamilton-Ron-Chernow/dp/1594200092
https://www.amazon.com/Something-Autobiography-Vintage-Akira-Kurosawa/dp/B0C3D5NDJX
https://www.amazon.com/Born-Standing-Up-Comics-Martin/dp/B017QUU3EO
https://www.amazon.com/Writing-Memoir-Craft-Stephen-King/dp/1439193630
https://www.amazon.com/Autobiography-Malcolm-told-Alex-Haley/dp/0345379756
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/peterjameswalker_cartadata-seriesa-valuations-activity-7092542118803488768-vOcY
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/venture-firms-still-writing-small-checks-despite-271-billion-in-dry-powder
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1688605654188224512
https://finance.yahoo.com/chart/SN
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CAVA:NYSE
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SRFM
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1686086247029055489
https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hhy7JUinlu0
https://twitter.com/gokulr/status/1680006171149869056
https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-08-10/disinflation-wave-the-bloomberg-open-americas-edition
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/09/business/china-economy-inflation.html
https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1689010884062904320
E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros: Chamath flies public + Poker recap
(8:12) FED pauses hikes momentarily, IPO window status, state of the market
(25:10) Film, cold plunge, and sauna talk
(33:25) AI's impact on tech and growth stocks surging, Google's position, AI's "$20T question"
(50:27) Jay Trading beating the market, how Brad formulates and sizes public bets, how GPs should handle distributions, CalPERS mistakes
(1:04:22) Reddit moderators in revolt and how this issue might reshape the future of social apps
(1:15:11) Funding landscape for AI startups is overheating: Mistral's $100M+ Seed round, importance of constraints, and more
(1:44:17) Science corner: Understanding the Bill Gates-funded mosquito project in Colombia
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/fed-rate-decision-june-2023.html
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/intel-talks-be-anchor-investor-arm-ipo-source-2023-06-13
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbanks-arm-registers-blockbuster-us-ipo-sources-2023-04-29
https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-to-acquire-arm-for-40-billion-creating-worlds-premier-computing-company-for-the-age-of-ai
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-06-13/databricks-hits-1-billion-in-annual-sales-while-adding-data-warehouse-tool
https://www.gamesindustry.biz/nvidias-acquisition-of-arm-cancelled-due-to-significant-regulatory-challenges
https://bard.google.com
https://coda.io/@presh-dineshkumar/jay-trading
https://www.ft.com/content/86b49e10-3dd2-4427-b70b-993bad47b061
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/14/calpers-to-increase-venture-capital-investments-despite-tech-turmoil.html
https://www.theverge.com/2023/6/12/23755974/reddit-subreddits-going-dark-private-protest-api-changes
https://reddark.untone.uk
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/18/technology/reddit-ai-openai-google.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-20554441
https://digiday.com/media/twitters-third-party-app-problem
https://www.wired.com/2015/07/reddit-ceo-ellen-pao-steps-down-huffman-replacement
https://www.platformer.news/p/meta-is-building-a-decentralized
https://www.ft.com/content/cf939ea4-d96c-4908-896a-48a74381f251
https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266
https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/1523379957/oculus-rift-step-into-the-game
https://openai.com/blog/function-calling-and-other-api-updates
https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1667616444996104196
https://www.womenshealthnetwork.com/hormonal-imbalance/sunscreen-ingredients-that-mess-with-your-hormones
Reddit communities revolt + Brad Gerstner on state of private and public markets in 2023 | E1761
This Week in Startups is presented by:
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iConnections is a platform to connect and meet with elite capital allocators through their online platform and bespoke events. The first 25 VC funds to sign up for iConnections Miami 2024 event in January of next year will receive a 20% discount! Head to iConnections.io/twist to sign up today!
*
Today’s show:
First up, Jason does a full breakdown of what’s going on at Reddit, and why this is happening now (1:21). Then, Brad Gerstner joins to break down the state of the markets in 2023 (18:28), his “Time to Get Fit” letter to Meta (30:06), and more!
Brad’s fireside chat was recorded live at LAUNCH Angel Summit in Napa.
Follow Brad: https://twitter.com/altcap
*
Time stamps:
(0:00) Jason tees up today’s segments!
(1:21) Breaking down the Reddit situation: Why 2000’s-era web companies relied on third-party apps built on their API
(3:10) Origin and current state of the Reddit revolt, CEO Steve Huffman’s AMA and comments
(10:27) Jason’s hot takes on how to solve the third-party app API pricing issue, Reddit’s IPO price, and more
(17:00) LinkedIn Jobs - Post your first job for free at https://linkedin.com/twist
(18:28) Brad Gerstner joins live from Angel Summit! Importance on non-consensus conviction, first-party research, how Brad first invested in Facebook
(29:00) Vanta - Get $1000 off your SOC 2 at https://vanta.com/twist
(30:06) Brad breaks down the greatness in Zuckerberg and Meta’s reaction to his “Time to Get Fit” letter
(34:08) Current state of the markets
(38:05) iConnections - Get 20% off iConnections Miami 2024 event at http://iconnections.io/twist
(39:48) Predicting what the AI innovation cycle will look like when compared to past cycles: pc, internet, mobile, cloud; why now is the most important time for AI investing
*
Read LAUNCH Fund 4 Deal Memo: https://www.launch.co/four
Apply for Funding: https://www.launch.co/apply
Buy ANGEL: https://www.angelthebook.com
Great recent interviews: Brian Chesky, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland, PrayingForExits, Jenny Lefcourt
Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis
*
Follow Jason:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/jason
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jason
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis
*
Follow TWiST:
Substack: https://twistartups.substack.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartups
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekin
*
Subscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.founder.university/podcast
Understanding the UAE startup opportunity with Brad Gerstner and Ibrahim Ajami | E1751
This Week in Startups is presented by:
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OpenPhone. Create business phone numbers for you and your team that work through an app on your smartphone or desktop. TWiST listeners can get an extra 20% off any plan for your first 6 months at openphone.com/twist
iConnections is a platform to connect and meet with elite capital allocators through their online platform and bespoke events. The first 25 VC funds to sign up for iConnections Miami 2024 event in January of next year will receive a 20% discount! Head to iConnections.io/twist to sign up today!
*
Today’s show:
Altimeter’s Brad Gerstner and Mubadala's Ibrahim Ajami join Jason to discuss their first UAE impressions (1:33), how the country is attracting startup talent, unclogging the capital allocator log jam, and more (19:43)!
*
Follow Brad: https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow Ibrahim: https://twitter.com/IbrahimAjami
*
Time stamps:
(0:00) Brad and Ibrahim join Jason
(1:33) First impressions of the UAE
(10:25) Veed - Head to https://www.veed.io/pricing?utm_campaign=TWIS&utm_medium=Marketing&utm_source=YouTube and start creating professional-quality videos in minutes!
(11:55) The story of Mubadala
(19:43) Attracting talent to the UAE
(26:53) OpenPhone - Get 20% off your first six months at https://openphone.com/twist
(28:21) The shifting perspective of the UAE and the opportunity it presents
(35:07) The level of curiosity in Abu Dhabi
(37:02) iConnections - Get 20% off iConnections Miami 2024 event at http://iconnections.io/twist
(38:21) Adjusting to the changing market
(41:58) Mubadala’s portfolio and investing in SoftBank’s Vision Fund
(49:40) Getting fit
(56:27) Unclogging the manager log jam and the denominator problem
(1:04:59) Investing in relationships
(1:11:38) The progression of the UAE
*
Read LAUNCH Fund 4 Deal Memo & Apply for Funding
Buy ANGEL
Great recent interviews: Brian Chesky, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland, PrayingForExits, Jenny Lefcourt
Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis
*
Follow Jason:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/jason
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jason
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis
*
Follow TWiST:
Substack: https://twistartups.substack.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartups
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekin
*
Subscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.founder.university/podcast
Fireside chat with Jason Calacanis & Brad Gerstner hosted by Mubadala’s Ibrahim Ajami | E1746
This Week in Startups is presented by:
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OpenPhone. Create business phone numbers for you and your team that work through an app on your smartphone or desktop. TWiST listeners can get an extra 20% off any plan for your first 6 months at http://openphone.com/twist
Today’s show:
Jason and Brad speak with Mubadala Capital’s Head of Ventures, Ibrahim Ajami, at Hub71 in the UAE. The three discuss how startups can survive and thrive in an economic downturn (1:02) before diving into the sacrifices that founders must make to create an incredible product. (14:16) They also explain how the AI revolution will affect software, startups, capital allocators, and more! (40:36)
Follow Mubadala: https://twitter.com/MubadalaCapital
Follow Ibrahim: https://twitter.com/IbrahimAjami
Follow Hub71: https://twitter.com/hub71ad
Follow Brad: https://twitter.com/altcap
Time stamps:
(0:00) Nick kicks off the show
(1:02) Surviving the downturn
(12:46) Squarespace - Use offer code TWIST to save 10% off your first purchase of a website or domain at https://Squarespace.com/TWIST
(14:16) Sacrificing to build a great product
(26:34)Trovata - Use code TWIST at https://trovata.io/twist for 30% off one year of premium features, like AI forecasting
(27:47) Brad’s letter to Mark Zuckerberg and AI creating ultra-efficient startups
(39:02) OpenPhone - Get 20% off your first six months at https://openphone.com/twist
(40:36) The AI revolution
(50:48) The implications of AI on the software industry
(55:50) Creating the Silicon Valley culture
(59:32) Reflecting on the success of the Launch Accelerator
(1:06:23) Building culture within your firm and dealing with failure
(1:19:03) Opinions on WFH
(1:25:05) Recognizing product velocity
(1:29:11) Advice for young founders
(1:34:47) Advice for founders in emerging markets
Read LAUNCH Fund 4 Deal Memo & Apply for Funding
Buy ANGEL
Great recent interviews: Brian Chesky, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland, PrayingForExits, Jenny Lefcourt
Check out Jason’s suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanis
Follow Jason:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/jason
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jason
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis
Follow TWiST:
Substack: https://twistartups.substack.com
Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartups
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekin
Subscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.founder.university/podcast
E118: AI FOMO frenzy, macro update, Fox vs Dominion, US vs China & more with Brad Gerstner
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI
(25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs
(37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, interest rates
(52:01) Marc Benioff channels his inner Elon Musk, the stock-based compensation boom
(1:11:59) Fox News facing defamation lawsuit over false election fraud claims, TikTok ban heats up, competition with China
(1:34:33) Ukraine update: China's peace proposal, US strategy
(1:46:34) Harvard legacy admissions, Draymond Green on Black History Month
(1:50:01) Stripe chart errata, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-i-stood-up-to-disney-florida-woke-corporatism-seaworld-universal-esg-parents-choice-education-defa2506
https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-shares-definition-of-woke-during-jake-tapper-cnn-interview
https://www.economist.com/business/2023/02/28/investors-are-going-nuts-for-chatgpt-ish-artificial-intelligence
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/doug-leone-lessons-from-a-titan/id1154105909?i=1000602027979
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-chatgpt-and-whisper-apis
https://twitter.com/heykahn/status/1628453782177865728
https://www.ft.com/content/21420ce2-92a1-43a0-a153-04ac7c872466
https://www.wsj.com/articles/instacart-sees-revenue-profit-boost-ahead-of-public-listing-1d7891d
https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/21023.jpeg
https://www.barrons.com/articles/home-prices-dropping-redfin-fac43ede
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE
https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/CRM-Q4-FY23-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4583622-salesforce-inc-crm-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1631361678582611970
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/fas123r.asp
https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-deposition-rupert-murdoch-says-fox-news-hosts-endorsed-false-2020-election-claims-c9348fc0
https://www.reuters.com/technology/tiktok-develop-parental-control-tool-block-certain-videos-2023-03-01
https://www.reuters.com/technology/white-house-gives-agencies-30-days-impose-federal-device-tiktok-ban-2023-02-27
https://www.wsj.com/articles/house-committee-lays-out-case-for-china-threat-ad62c611
https://www.euronews.com/2023/02/27/chinas-peace-plan-russia-says-no-conditions-for-peaceful-solution-or-ukraine-for-now
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-war-depleting-u-s-ammunition-stockpiles-sparking-pentagon-concern-11661792188
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1496886759665586177
https://twitter.com/deloreshandy/status/1629516350602264582
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26316/w26316.pdf
https://www.tmz.com/2023/03/01/draymond-green-calls-end-black-history-month-celebrate-all-year
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-03-02/how-former-fugee-pras-michel-got-involved-in-1mdb-scandal-big-take
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/06/how-the-biggest-fraud-in-german-history-unravelled
Interest rates, inflation and “getting fit” with Brad Gerstner | E1639
Brad Gerstner of Altimeter Capital joins Molly and Jason for an epic Friday show. They chop it up about the state of the economy, what it actually means to be founder friendly and discuss which big tech companies are“fit”. (1:24)
(0:00) J+M Kick off the show
(1:24) Brad Gerstner joins Molly and Jason
(10:28) Odoo - Get your first app free and a $1000 credit at https://odoo.com/twist
(11:38) Brad presents on interest rates, inflation and business multiples
(26:32) LinkedIn Marketing - Get a $100 LinkedIn ad credit at https://linkedin.com/thisweekinstartups
(28:05) The Fed’s core mission
(37:54) Being founder friendly
(39:42) Brad’s letter to Meta
(48:33) Companies that need to get fit
(53:00) Google and Meta’s fitness
(58:08) The curse of the money-printing machine
(1:00:01) Google vs ChatGPT
(1:05:05) Is Uber fit?
FOLLOW Jason: https://linktr.ee/calacanis
FOLLOW Molly: https://twitter.com/mollywood
Subscribe to our YouTube to watch all full episodes:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCkkhmBWfS7pILYIk0izkc3A?sub_confirmation=1
20VC: Chris Sacca, Chamath Palihapitiya, Gary Vee, Brad Gerstner and more on Their Relationship To Money, How It Has Changed with Time and Wealth, How They Bring Up Their Children To Engender the Same Values of Ambition and Hard Work?
Chris Sacca is the Founder and Chairman @ Lowercase Capital, one of the best performing funds in the history of venture capital with a portfolio including Uber, Stripe, Twitter, Instagram, Twilio, Docker and many more.
From interviewing some of the world's richest married couples, how did gaining wealth change their relationship and marriage?
What does Chris do to actively ensure his children remain hungry and know the value of money?
Chamath Palihapitiya is Founder & CEO @ Social Capital. Social's portfolio includes the likes of Slack, Yammer, Front, Intercom and Carta to name a few.
What does Chamath mean when he says we need to think through the mindset of "infinite games" not finite games? How does this change how you think about money?
How does Chamath think about his relationship to risk today as a result?
Brad Gerstner is the Founder and CEO of Altimeter. Brad's notable deals that he has helped lead include Snowflake, Mongo, Bytedance, Gusto, Unity, Okta, dbt, Modern Treasury, EPIC Games, Hotel Tonight and Zillow.
What is the most important thing parents can do to ensure that despite wealth, their children remain grounded and ambitious?
Why does Brad, despite being a billionaire, still live in a modest house and not spend on the excesses of life? How does Brad embrace essentialism with wealth?
Cyan Banister is one of the most successful and renowned early-stage investors in the last decade. Her portfolio includes the likes of SpaceX, Uber, Affirm, Opendoor Postmates, Niantic and Thumbtack to name a few.
Why did Cyan used to hate money? Why was she "anti-capitalist"?
How does Cyan approach risk management today? Why does she invest every dollar she makes back into the ecosystem?
George Zachary is a General Partner @ CRV, one of the nation's oldest and most successful early-stage venture capital firms with a portfolio including the likes of Airtable, DoorDash, Dropbox, Niantic and many more.
What did George learn about how the way people view you changes with your increasing wealth?
Why does George believe rich people like to hang out with rich people?
Biz Stone is best known as the Co-Founder of Twitter and Medium. Biz is also an investor in the likes of Slack, Square, Intercom, Beyond Meat and Blue Bottle Coffee.
What does Biz mean when he says, "wealth only serves to amplify the person you are?"
E101: Ye acquires Parler, Snap drops 30%, macro outlook, VC metrics, valuing stocks & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins in place of Sacks, and brigadoons!
(2:02) Ye's current situation and acquisition of Parler
(14:17) Snap drops ~30%, corporate misgovernance, super-voting shares
(32:53) Macro outlook, Stability AI $101M fundraise, VC fund metrics
(1:05:38) The difficulty of active stock picking and valuing businesses
(1:21:38) Lyft vs Gavin Newsom on Prop 30, PSA from Chamath
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://www.statista.com/statistics/545967/snapchat-app-dau
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/10/20/musk-twitter-acquisition-staff-cuts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/digital-media-firm-stability-ai-raises-funds-at-1-billion-value
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1520643441994387456
https://www.wsj.com/articles/lyft-battles-gavin-newsom-over-california-measure-to-fund-evs-11665864256
https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/30
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
20VC: Altimeter's Brad Gerstner on Why Supercycles and the Powerlaw is the Most Important Thing In Investing, Why Portfolio Diversification is the Opposite of Risk Mitigation and The #1 Question Brad Asks All New Recruits
Brad Gerstner is the Founder and CEO of Altimeter, a life-cycle technology investment firm that manages public and private portfolios. Brad has personally participated in more than 100 IPOs as a sponsor, anchor, and investor. Brad's notable deals include Snowflake, Mongo, Bytedance, Gusto, Unity, Okta, dbt, Modern Treasury, EPIC Games, Hotel Tonight, and Zillow. Prior to founding Altimeter, Brad was a 3-time co-founder where he sold all three businesses (to IAC, Google, and Marchex), a founding principal at General Catalyst; a securities lawyer, a former Deputy Secretary of State of Indiana, and a pilot.
In Today's Episode with Brad Gerstner We Discuss:
1.) From Humble Beginnings in Indiana to 100 IPOs:
When did Brad realize his original love of finance and entrepreneurship?
What one single question does Brad ask all potential new recruits to determine if they have hustle?
What does Brad know now that he wishes he had known at the beginning of his career?
2.) The Power Law and Supercycles:
What is a power law? Why is it the single most important thing in investing?
How do the best investors in the world build a framework around supercycles?
How does Brad approach market sizing? How does Brad think about market creation when aligning that to his thesis of investing in power laws?
How does Brad determine if a large opportunity is a "super-cyle" or a short, time-stamped fad that is unsustainable? How does Brad assess the importance of market timing?
3.) Building Anti-Fragile Portfolios:
Portfolio Construction: Why does Brad disagree that the answer to risk mitigation is portfolio diversification? How many companies is enough companies for a diverse portfolio?
Price Sensitivity: How does Brad reflect on his own relationship to price? How does this process and mindset change on re-investments? What is needed for Brad to re-invest?
Time to Exit: How does Brad analyze when is the right time to exit a position? What are the single biggest mistakes people make when it comes to timing their exit?
4.) The Venture Landscape: Today, What is Happening?
Why does Brad believe what has happened over the last 24 months is a great disservice to founders?
What are the biggest examples of a complete lack of investor discipline?
Why does Brad believe that for all positions valued over $500M, we should apply a 20% discount?
Is today's pricing actually just the new normal? How has the public market pricing impacted the deployment of growth stage checks? How will this play out in the next 12 months?
Why does Brad believe there is "not blood on the streets yet"? How does the speed of interest rate change impact our ecosystem so dramatically?
Items Mentioned in Today's Episode:
Brad's Favourite Book: The Snowball: Warren Buffet and the Business of Life
E83: Market slide continues, and how to address Uvalde
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner joins the show
1:00 All-In Summit recap and best moments
16:45 State of the markets, $ZM/$SNOW earnings, how much more uncertainty?
29:53 $SNAP drops after miscalculating earnings targets, understanding signs of a true bottom, the end of entitlement
51:10 Down market end game, investor decisions, reasons for optimism, quick reset potential
1:05:17 Sacks explains his concept for "default investable," Besties share thoughts on proactive layoffs and course correction
1:12:27 Addressing Uvalde, legislative disappointment, potential preventative solutions
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX
https://investors.zoom.us/news-releases/news-release-details/zoom-video-communications-reports-financial-results-first
https://investors.snowflake.com/news/news-details/2022/Snowflake-Reports-Financial-Results-for-the-First-Quarter-of-Fiscal-2023/default.aspx
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T10YIE
https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1529100065331200005
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1529133144540078083
https://layoffs.fyi
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/24/snaps-down-32percent-and-its-dragging-other-stocks-down-with-it.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FB:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ
https://nypost.com/2022/05/13/netflix-tells-woke-workers-to-quit-if-they-are-offended-culture-memo
https://twitter.com/JeffBezos/status/1525309091970699265
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1529119829080150016
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1528102541723979776
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200
https://elections.bradyunited.org/take-action/nra-donations-116th-congress-senators
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_shootings_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Total_Deaths_in_US_Mass_Shootings_1982-2021.jpg
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529843255176663040
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/01/business/coronavirus-gun-sales.html
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1529504198974263296
E81: All-In Summit: Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner on markets, downturns & investment cycles
This conversation was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist
0:00 Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner break down the state and historical significance of 2022's market downturn
12:27 How VCs will handle capital commitments from LPs, underwriting startups in the new reality
24:14 Bull run mistakes, why VCs don't underwrite lower valuations, handling distributions
33:52 Gurley's take on WeCrashed & Super Pumped TV series, how sophisticated investors got "gaslit" by the market, influx of capital creating consumer-surplus businesses
47:54 Brad predicts the market for next year, Bill gives post-Benchmark plans
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
E73: Late-stage VC markdowns and mistakes, market strategy, Ukraine/Russia update with Brad Gerstner
0:00 Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner is filling in for Friedberg
1:34 Understanding public SaaS and Internet multiples, Instacart's cuts its valuation by 40%, understanding reality of overvalued late-stage companies
21:52 Capital allocators at fault, how crossover funds are reacting, late-stage price discovery, investor and founder behavioral psychology
40:37 Sacks' burn multiple, managing growth spend, new VC qualifications, lessons from the COVID bubble
53:58 Russia/Ukraine: US potential non-ceasefire strategy, Zelenskyy's revelations in CNN interview, rhetoric getting more aggressive
1:08:58 How will Putin withdraw without redacting the sanctions? What is the offramp? Zelenskyy's posture on global war
1:24:18 Understanding China's recently announced tax cuts, All-In Summit talk
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burnmultiple-51a7e43cb200
https://substack.com/profile/11803623-jamin-ball
https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/1506243619384037378
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-03-22/niall-ferguson-putin-and-biden-misunderstand-history-in-ukraine-war
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html
https://twitter.com/samramani2/status/1507378113893871617
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-says-first-phase-ukraine-operation-mostly-complete-focus-now-donbass-2022-03-25/
https://www.wptv.com/news/national/russia-ukraine-conflict/zelenskyy-warns-of-world-war-iii-if-russia-ukraine-peace-talks-fail
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/03/20/zelensky_ukraine_failed_putin_talks_would_mean_a_third_world_war.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/03/20/zelenskyy-ukraine-zakaria-interview-00018716
https://fortune.com/2022/03/25/russia-g20-summit-putin-biden-indonesia-bali-china-ukraine/
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
https://fortune.com/2022/03/24/putin-russia-natural-gas-europe-imports-pay-in-rubles-sanctions/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/world/europe/putin-speech-russia-ukraine.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/24/biden-says-us-would-respond-to-russia-if-putin-uses-chemical-or-biological-weapons.html
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/03/09/blinken-u-s-would-not-recognize-crimea-secession/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-sticks-with-longstanding-u-s-policy-on-use-of-nuclear-weapons-amid-pressure-from-allies-11648176849
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-21/china-embraces-supply-side-economics-with-tax-cuts
Altimeter (with Brad Gerstner)
We hear a lot these days about hedge funds becoming venture firms, and venture firms becoming hedge funds. But a decade before either of those approaches became mainstream, a tiny $3m fund in Boston named Altimeter Capital set out simply to invest in a concentrated portfolio of America’s very best technology companies, regardless if they were public or private. Today that tiny firm has grown to nearly $15B under management and become a premier “capital partner” to founders at all but the very earliest stages — companies like Snowflake, Facebook, Roblox, Plaid, Grab and Acquired fan-favorite Modern Treasury. We sit down with founder & CEO Brad Gerstner to dive into the story behind Altimeter’s meteoric rise.
This episode has video! You can watch it on YouTube.
Sponsors:
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Carve Outs:
Brad’s Twitter thread on Invest America: https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1347454947583950849?s=20&t=gM5zJMcq9p96GcjEHZw56w
Note: Acquired hosts and guests may hold assets discussed in this episode. This podcast is not investment advice, and is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only. You should do your own research and make your own independent decisions when considering any financial transactions.
Altimeter’s Brad Gerstner on taking Grab public in largest SPAC ever, fixing broken IPOs | E1203
Crossover technology investor Brad Gerstner discussed Altimeter Capital taking Grab public in the largest SPAC ever (38:55), why the IPO process is broken and how to fix it (12:55), and the responsibility of people with platforms to encourage responsible retail investing (22:12). As well as, how $2000 for every American invested in the public markets at birth would display the power of capitalism to improve lives (50:50) and more!
E29: Coinbase goes public, direct listings vs. IPOs, portfolio management, unions & more with Bestie Guestie Brad Gerstner
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Referenced in the show:
Statista - Death rates from coronavirus (COVID-19) in the United States
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state
Tweets:
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1382737752794353664
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1382874547179950082
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1382466963885199362
https://twitter.com/DrewHolden360/status/1382477293797400581
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1383073577386201094
Show Notes:
0:00 Bestie intro & crowning a new SPAC king
3:01 Coinbase's direct listing, comparing vehicles to go public & lockup periods, Sacks on Coinbase vs. NYT
12:06 David Sacks on running for governor
15:21 Brad & the besties react to the crazy Q1 in the markets, a16z's savvy buying moves with Coinbase, issues with short-term behavioral lock-in
32:37 Top insights from Bezos' letter to shareholders, Amazon employees reject the union in Alabama
50:27 Reacting to Drew Holden's recent thread on media double standards in covering each party
54:28 Federalism's benefits throughout COVID, State-by-state results reveal lockdowns didn't work, vaccine incentives and PR due to J&J decision
1:04:20 Degradation of faith in institutions accelerated by COVID
1:09:26 Republican Senator Josh Hawley calls for big tech antitrust reform, bypassing institutions for progress
E11: Election Night Special featuring Phil Hellmuth, Bill Gurley, Brad Gerstner & more!
Follow the crew:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Follow the bestie guesties:
https://twitter.com/bgurley
https://twitter.com/phil_hellmuth
https://twitter.com/altcap
https://twitter.com/jcpolls
Show Notes:
0:00 The besties & Phil Hellmuth on Trump's early lead, live betting odds, the Latinx reversal
10:09 Sacks intros political expert Michael Newman on vote tally timing discrepancies, why some states skew a certain way early & more
20:33 Assessing the 180 in the gambling markets & equity markets towards a pro-Trump outcome
24:18 SurveyMonkey Chief Research Officer Jon Cohen joins the show to talk about polling updates from 2016 to 2020, understanding the race so far, electoral college & more
41:51 Biden losing Florida, tax policy, cultural repudiation of the elites in 2020
50:43 Chamath on the stupidity of the establishment, socialism, Democratic ideology for 2024 if Biden loses
55:40 Mid-show predictions, Jason goes off on Trump
1:07:58 What will happen in the time until we have a clear winner, Trump as a middle finger
1:17:55 Brad Gerstner joins the show to talk about stock futures, what the Democrats keep getting wrong - coastal elites losing touch with normal people, rebuking lockdowns
1:38:24 Reviewing the race swing state by swing state
1:47:28 Bill Gurley joins the show to talk about divisiveness, urban/rural rapture & more
1:55:53 Pete Buttigieg as the future of the Democratic Party, Chamath calls out the democratic leaders
2:00:43 Reconciling middle America & the coastal elites, respecting each other's differences, understanding Prop 22
2:11:34 Diagnosing states that flipped from Biden to Trump, anti-business California state propositions failing, union impact on legislation
2:23:01 Senate races, market talk, which Democratic candidate had the best chance of beating Trump, voting for character over policy
2:34:32 Jason & Sacks debate Russian election interference legitimacy
2:41:34 Sacks unveils his Trump Derangement Score tracker, updated outcome scenarios & more
2:51:51 Trump declaring victory could tank markets, live reaction to Joe Biden's election night address
Brad Gerstner and Rich Barton – Thriving in Changing Markets - [Invest Like the Best, EP.197]
My guests today are Rich Barton and Brad Gerstner. Brad is the founder of Altimeter Capital and is one of my favorite active investors. Brad and Altimeter were one of the largest investors in Snowflake in its earlier days and continue to invest in iconic modern businesses with an extreme focus. Rich has one of the most impressive resumes in the business world. He founded Expedia, Glassdoor, and Zillow; He’s a longtime Netflix board member, since before they went public; he’s a venture partner at Benchmark Capital; and he give back through the Barton family foundation. Our conversation covers Rich’s “power to the people,” strategy, Brad and Rich’s perspectives on taking companies public through SPACs vs. IPOs, and their perspectives on how to build a great company. This one is so fun, we even discuss how to come up with company names, talk about the importance Wizard of Oz, and explore the importance of big hairy audacious goals. I really enjoyed this conversation with two of the smartest people I know, and I hope you will too.
This episode is brought to you by Koyfin, one of the fastest growing fintech startups. I discovered Koyfin earlier this year when I asked twitter for the best Bloomberg alternative, and the overwhelming winner was an intriguing new product called Koyfin.
Koyfin has tons of high-quality data, powerful functionality, and a nice clean interface. If you’re an individual investor, research analyst, portfolio manager, or financial advisor, you should definitely check them out. Sign up for free at koyfin.com
This episode of Invest Like The Best is also sponsored by Assure. Assure is changing the way investors manage private transactions.
With Assure, investors can eliminate nearly all the admin cost of private investment. On top of that, they handle all the backend, legal, taxes, accounting, and compliance. All of it, with a straightforward one-time fee. Learn more and try Assure for yourself at https://www.assure.co/patrick.
For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.
Sign up for the book club and new email newsletter called “Inside the Episode” at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.
Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag
Show Notes
(2:59) – (First question) – How Brad and Rich met
(5:57) – The instant click between them
(7:21) – The power to the people perspective
(7:29) – Brad Gerstner Podcast Episode
(10:21) – Delivering information to consumers
(11:31) – The investing perception of data-delivery businesses
(13:54) – How they use SPACs
(17:38) – How entrepreneurs view SPACs
(20:17) – Lessons from their involvement in Altimeter Growth Corp
(23:57) – Defining value add investor in the public and private markets
(26:36) – The Wizard of OZ and Pygmalions
(30:41) – Leadership mold at businesses and big audacious goals
(30:44) – No Rules Rules: Netflix and the Culture of Reinvention
(36:05) – Frank Slootman’s leadership style
(36:12) – Amp It Up
(46:13) – TAPE SUCKS: Inside Data Domain, A Silicon Valley Growth Story
(38:11) – Courage in leadership
(41:33) – Physical businesses vs digital only businesses
(43:34) – Getting companies fit
(45:39) – Lessons around talent density
(48:28) – State of the world and markets today since the inception of the pandemic
(53:46) – Making up words for companies and fertile ground
(56:45) – Go to market model vs business model
(58:50) – Early days of product market sales
(1:03:03) – Advice to early investors and entrepreneurs for the future of their careers
(1:08:10) – The board challenge
(1:12:06) – What question are they working hard to answer right now
(1:16:09) – Kindest thing anyone has done for Rich
Learn More
For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.
Sign up for the book club and new email newsletter called “Inside the Episode” at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.
Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag
Brad Gerstner – Public and Private Investing - [Invest Like the Best, EP.179]
My guest today is Brad Gerstner, the founder and CIO of Altimeter Capital, a multi-billion dollar technology-focused investment firm. Brad and his team are known for a deep expertise in internet-enabled businesses, including Expedia, Facebook, Uber, and many more. We discuss the evolution of opportunity in this style of investing, including the important shift to private investing, where so much of the value creation now happens. I won’t soon forget our discussion of consumer intent on the internet and how it has shifted, the role that essentialism plays in Brad’s business and life, and the rise of the Chinese internet giants like Bytedance. Please enjoy this great conversation with Brad Gerstner.
This episode is brought to you by the MIT investment management company (MITIMCO)
Reach out or learn more:
Email: partner@mitimco.org
Website: https://mitimco.org/partner/
MITIMCo 10 year Letter: https://mitimco.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/MITIMCo-Alumni-Letter.pdf
MITIMCo brochure: https://mitimco.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/MITIMCo-Brochure_web_2018-12-05.pdf
For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.
Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub.
Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag
Show Notes
(2:32) – (First question) – Overall investment philosophy at Altimeter
(5:12) – Most interesting thing in the landscape today
(11:16) – Disrupting the tech giants moving forward
(13:56) – The investing opportunity in the backend of the internet
(16:42) – His take on old line businesses and how technology could shift his view on them
(18:56) – Lessons from company founders whose platforms rely on consumer discovery
(21:32) – Running his business on essentialism
(21:40) – Essentialism: The Disciplined Pursuit of Less
(26:11) – Tactical applications of essentialism
(29:46) – Applying essentialism outside of business
(31:16) – What travel has taught him about business
(33:43) – What we should know about the Chinese internet market
(37:11) – The emergence of bite sized transactions across the web
(39:22) – Bite sized work
(42:43) – How early on can you figure out what company would win a vertical
(45:36) – What problem space would he tackle today
(48:49) – Collaborating in the private markets
(57:27) – Pricing businesses as a key component of his investment choices
(1:02:47) – Fascination with life sciences and software
(1:04:12) – What about the future excites him
(1:06:48) – Kindest thing anyone has done for Brad
Learn More
For more episodes go to InvestorFieldGuide.com/podcast.
Sign up for the book club, where you’ll get a full investor curriculum and then 3-4 suggestions every month at InvestorFieldGuide.com/bookclub
Follow Patrick on Twitter at @patrick_oshag