Phase II of the Bull Market | Dan Morehead
This week Dan Morehead joins the show to discuss the current state of markets & what's next throughout 2025 into 2026. We deep dive into how Dan built conviction in crypto as an asset class back in 2013, does the four year cycle still exist, crypto treasury vehicles, Dan's Solana thesis & more. Enjoy!
--
Follow Dan: https://x.com/dan_pantera
Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz
Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod
--
Join the Empire Telegram: https://t.me/+CaCYvTOB4Eg1OWJh
Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from David Canellis.
Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts
--
Crypto-native institutions and developers demand institutional-grade infrastructure with regulatory clarity and full asset control. Blockdaemon's Earn Stack is a non-custodial platform combining high-performance staking rewards and seamless DeFi integration with no intermediate smart contract or vaults.
Programmatically access leading Ethereum & Solana staking rewards, plus DeFi opportunities across lending protocols, DEXs, and AMMs. Book a Demo!
--
Welcome to Get Real — Web3’s first-ever campaign rewarding you for creating real-world value. Connect your devices to real-world apps on peaq and earn rewards for:
Measuring noise pollution
Providing compute
Mapping the word And more
Total prize pool: 5% of $PEAQ’s initial supply. Get Real is relaunching soon — follow peaq on X and get ready.
--
Mantle is pioneering ""Blockchain for Banking"" as a revolutionary new category that sits at the intersection of TradFi and web3.
Key elements for Mantle as the ""Blockchain for Banking"":
- Transactions posted to the blockchain
- Compatibility with TradFi rails
- Integrated DeFi features
Mantle Network, the access layer — transforms Mantle Network into a purpose-built vertical platform — the blockchain for banking — that enables financial services on-chain. Mantle leads the establishment of Blockchain for Banking as the next frontier.
Follow Mantle on X (@Mantle_Official) for the latest updates on Mantle as the 'Blockchain for Banking'.
--
GEODNET is the world’s largest RTK network, delivering real-time, centimeter-level precision for drones, robots, farmers, and first responders. Recognized by the U.S. Congress, this blockchain-powered network supports mission-critical applications across a wide range of industries.
Discover how GEODNET is changing the world: [https://geodnet.com]
--
Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(02:44) Buying Bitcoin In The Early Days
(07:11) Dan's Macro Outlook In 2025
(17:14) Ads (Blockdaemon, Peaq)
(18:44) Does The Four Year Cycle Still Exist?
(27:39) Phase II of The Bull Market
(29:49) The Crypto IPO Window Is Open
(32:44) Ads (Blockdaemon, Peaq)
(34:13) Crypto Treasury Vehicles
(40:30) The Solana Thesis: Why Pantera Owns $1bn+ Solana
(42:45) Are Institutions Still Underallocated To Crypto?
(46:33) Ads (Manttle, Goednet)
(47:59) Launching Crypto's Longest Running Fund
(55:07) Advice For Founders
(57:50) Crypto's Biggest Opportunity In The Next 5 Years
--
Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Finding 1,000x Assets & Asymmetric Returns | Dan Morehead of Pantera Capital
How do you find an asset with 1000x asymmetric return? How do you find the next bitcoin?
Our guest today is Dan Morehead, founder and managing director at Pantera Capital. He has been buying bitcoin since 2013 when the price was just $65. His fund is up over 100x since then.
There’s a lot to learn from Dan’s story, about early bitcoin history, but also the pattern recognition required to identify asymmetric assets. We cover price predictions, 4 year cycles vs a supercycle, how much upside is still in crypto, the trump administration and his thoughts on a strategic bitcoin reserve
------ 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24 https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium
------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:
🐙KRAKEN | MOST-TRUSTED CRYPTO EXCHANGE https://k.xyz/bankless-pod-q2
🦄UNISWAP | BUG BOUNTY PROGRAM https://bankless.cc/Uniswap-Bug-Bounty
⚖️ ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum
🛞MANTLE | MODULAR LAYER 2 NETWORK https://bankless.cc/Mantle 📈 iYield: YOUR FINANCIAL PICTURE, SIMPLIFIED https://bankless.cc/iYield
🗣️TOKU | CRYPTO EMPLOYMENT https://bankless.cc/toku
------ ✨ Mint the episode on Zora ✨ https://zora.co/collect/base:0x4be6cd4d402fed49eb2de95fbc8e737e8ffd3e7f/1?referrer=0x077Fe9e96Aa9b20Bd36F1C6290f54F8717C5674E
------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 6:00 The Email from 2013 14:15 Asymmetric Patterns 17:50 Buying Bitcoin in 2013 26:25 Onboarding Investors 32:12 Crypto's Global Adoption 37:15 Bitcoin's Escape Velocity 43:19 US Government Impact on Crypto 52:21 Global Bitcoin Race 56:14 Institutional Adoption for Crypto 1:04:37 Crypto Cycles 1:09:20 2025 Bull Market? 1:12:53 Macro Environment 1:16:50 Tokenization 1:21:18 Thoughts on AI 1:24:19 The Next Bitcoin 1:26:46 Future Plans 1:27:23 Closing & Disclaimers
------ RESOURCES
Dan Morehead https://x.com/dan_pantera
Pantera Capital https://panteracapital.com/
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
DeFi Didn't Break with Dan Morehead & Joey Krug
Many things have broken in the last few months during crypto's bear market. However, DeFi didn't break. Dan Morehead and Joey Krug explain why.
Dan founded Pantera in 2003, then pivoted into cryptocurrency in 2013 and went all in on crypto, and is the firm's CEO. Joey joined Pantera in 2017 as co-CIO and is a seasoned builder/investor in the crypto space.
Both repeat Bankless guests and both know more than a thing or two about crypto and investing.
------ 📣Rhino.Fi | Massive Mystery Airdrop https://bit.ly/3o9trRE
------ 🚀 SUBSCRIBE TO NEWSLETTER: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/ 🎙️ SUBSCRIBE TO PODCAST: http://podcast.banklesshq.com/
------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:
🌱 LENS | ACCESS CODE: WAGMI https://bankless.cc/Lens
🚀 ROCKET POOL | ETH STAKING https://bankless.cc/RocketPool
⚖️ ARBITRUM | SCALING ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum
🦁 BRAVE | THE BROWSER NATIVE WALLET https://bankless.cc/Brave
🌉 JUNO | BRIDGE FIAT TO LAYER 2 https://bankless.cc/Juno
⚡️ ZKSYNC | THE LAYER 2 SCALING ENDGAME https://bankless.cc/zkSync
------ Timestamps:
0:00 Intro 6:15 The Past Few Months 10:28 Crypto's 2008 Moment 12:40 The Mainstream Media Story 16:45 CeFi vs. DeFi Confusion 21:45 Media Incentives 24:00 DeFi vs. Wall Street 30:45 DeFi is Too Referential Critique 33:38 DeFi Worked Great 37:05 Transparency Thoughts 43:15 2008 Prevented with DeFi? 49:35 Educating Retail 53:39 Was This Surprising? 55:00 Quick Macro Takes 58:20 Closing & Disclaimers
------ Resources:
Dan Morehead https://twitter.com/dan_pantera
Joey Krug https://twitter.com/joeykrug
DeFi Worked Great https://panteracapital.com/blockchain-letter/defi-worked-great/
Pantera https://panteracapital.com/
----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.
Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/bankless-disclosures
115 - The Stagflation Mega-Trade | Dan Morehead
✨ DEBRIEF ✨ | Ryan & David's Unfiltered Thoughts on the Episode https://shows.banklesshq.com/p/debrief-the-stagflation-mega-trade
Dan Morehead is the Founder & CEO of Pantera Capital, a blockchain investment firm that’s up nearly 65,900% since inception. Dan has spent decades successfully managing global macro funds throughout countless cycles.
We’ve said it before and we’ll say it again, macro plus crypto is a deadly combination. These two skills are some of the most important when it comes to navigating the remainder of this decade and beyond. Who better to share their expertise than Dan?
In this episode, Dan peels back the layers of how inflation, the bond bubble, and other important crises became so extreme, how they compare to the late 1970s, what you should do to prepare for the craziness to come, and so much more.
------ 📣 THE GRAPH | Graph Day in San Francisco | June 2-5 https://bankless.cc/GraphDay
------ 🚀 SUBSCRIBE TO NEWSLETTER: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/ 🎙️ SUBSCRIBE TO PODCAST: http://podcast.banklesshq.com/
------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:
⚖️ ARBITRUM | SCALED ETHEREUM https://bankless.cc/Arbitrum
❎ ACROSS | BRIDGE TO LAYER 2 https://bankless.cc/Across
🏦 ALTO IRA | TAX-FREE CRYPTO https://bankless.cc/AltoIRA
👻 AAVE V3 | LEND & BORROW CRYPTO https://bankless.cc/aave
⚡️ LIDO | LIQUID ETH STAKING https://bankless.cc/lido
🔐 LEDGER | NANO S PLUS WALLET https://bankless.cc/Ledger
------ Topics Covered:
0:00 Intro 6:12 What’s Happening with Inflation 12:10 The Reality of Inflation 14:02 Bond Bubble & Money Printing 24:06 The $15T Bond Overcalculation 35:00 Comparing the 1970s & Today 45:00 How to Survive Stagflation 51:55 Position Yourself Wisely 55:40 Crypto’s Macro Response 1:04:35 Why We’re Decoupling 1:12:30 Is the Bear Market Over? 1:18:22 The Last 10 Years & Why Crypto 1:25:10 Institutional Conversations 1:30:50 Easy Button Portfolio 1:34:44 Dan’s 2022 & Beyond Focuses 1:39:30 Closing & Disclaimers ------ Resources:
Dan on Twitter https://twitter.com/dan_pantera
Pantera Capital https://panteracapital.com/
Dan’s Letters from Pantera https://panteracapital.com/blockchain-letter/ https://panteracapital.com/blockchain-letter/the-year-ahead-in-crypto/ https://panteracapital.com/blockchain-letter/the-next-mega-trade/ https://panteracapital.com/blockchain-letter/its-called-the-70s/
Charts https://panteracapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Screen-Shot-2022-02-15-at-5.31.17-PM-1536x862.png https://imgur.com/ZY4ltqn
----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.
Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/bankless-disclosures
"There's Been a Zero-to-One Switch for Institutions and Crypto:" Pantera's Dan Morehead
In this week’s episode, we speak with Dan Morehead, the founder of one of the longest-standing and largest crypto funds. Dan founded Pantera Capital in 2003 as a global macro hedge fund. In 2013, Pantera began investing in Bitcoin and quickly shifted its entire focus into crypto. Today, Pantera manages $3.8 billion in digital assets and equity in blockchain companies. Dan said Pantera is planning on increasing the Bitcoin exposure on its liquid tokens fund from zero to somewhere in the teens, while its main bet will remain DeFi. Dan is most excited about what he views is a shift in institutions’ interest in crypto. Firms which had told him they would never come close to holding crypto, are now wanting to dip their toes. And in a still small market, that has the potential to make big waves.
Thanking our sponsors:
Balancer, one of the leading DeFi automated market makers (AMM) for multiple tokens. Dive into their pools at https://balancer.finance/!
Enzyme provides an easy way to build, scale and monetize DeFi investment strategies
Kraken, consistently rated the best and most secure cryptocurrency exchange, which can get you from fiat to DeFi
Aave, an open source and non-custodial liquidity protocol where users can earn interest on deposits and borrow assets
The DeFi Pulse Index, by Index Coop - DPI is the easiest way to capture the upside of DeFi with the benefit of diversification. Buy DPI today on your favorite DEX.
Pantera Capital CEO says institutional bitcoin adoption is changing the crypto narrative
Pantera Capital's CEO Dan Morehead says initial coin offerings (ICO) aren't dead, but the narrative is gearing towards a bitcoin and ethereum ruled world for investors.
"Crypto as a market is so volatile that the narrative changes," said Morehead on this week's episode of The Scoop.
That narrative lately has been all about bitcoin's growing adoption. From Microstrategy to Stone Ridge Holdings — and maybe soon the city of Miami — big players are allocating millions into the cryptocurrency.
But as the money flows towards bitcoin adoption, ICO's aren't over, according to Morehead. Pantera is still pitched one every two to four months, and the firm's initial coin offering (ICO) fund ended 2020 up more than 500%.
Still, that's a sharp decline from the 50 pitches a week Pantera sifted through in 2017, and its bitcoin fund closed 2020 up nearly 300%. The crypto narrative for investors is trending towards bitcoin amid institutional adoption, Morehead told The Scoop.
"We’re really seeing an inflection point with more coming into the market over the last couple of months....I think the reality is they’re looking for managers that manage multi asset funds sometimes both tokens and venture and they ultimately want that all to be within a handful of managers," he said.
Lately, he's getting calls from many endowments, putting the industry at an inflection point with so many entering the space. Driving the interest in bitcoin is the current macro backdrop as well as bitcoin's spring halving last year—which the firm said could play a role in bringing its price to $115,000.
He broke down what that means for the coming year on this week's episode, along with:
Why the market is so focused on BTC and ETH this time around compared to the focus on initial coin offerings in 2017.
What institutional investors want out of a bitcoin or crypto fund manager
Why Coinbase's initial public offering will kick off a wave of crypto companies going public.
How the industry is going to consolidate in the coming years, and why many exchanges are in a prime position to get rolled up.
Why Pantera is "much more bullish on Ethereum" than other parts of the space.
Pantera Capital: How Bitcoin Could Reach $356,000 in a Few Years - Ep.129
Dan Morehead, founder and CEO of Pantera Capital, and Joey Krug, co-chief investment officer of Pantera and founder of Augur, discuss where we are in the development cycle of blockchain technology, how Bitcoin, if stays on past trend lines, could hit $42,000 by year's end and $356,000 a couple years after that, and why the biggest challenges now are around scaling and onboarding. We also cover what the adoption of the technology will mean long-term — how creating assets and markets will no longer be the realm of a privileged view — but why payments may be one of the last areas to be disrupted. Morehead and Krug also talk about how Libra walks the line between decentralized and centralized, and it's unclear how Libra will become decentralized. Plus, hear how they respond to questions about the SEC vs. Kik.
Sign up for the Virtues of the Crypto Revolution retreat with me, Meltem Demirors of CoinShares and Jalak Jobanputra of Future Perfect Ventures at Omega Institute!!
Thank you to our sponsors!
Crypto.com: https://www.crypto.com/
Kraken: https://www.kraken.com
CipherTrace: http://ciphertrace.com/unchained
Episode links:
Pantera Capital: https://www.panteracapital.com
Dan Morehead: https://twitter.com/dan_pantera
Joey Krug: https://twitter.com/joeykrug
Dan Morehead on Unconfirmed: https://unchainedpodcast.com/dan-morehead-of-pantera-capital-on-why-this-crypto-winter-is-different/
Unchained with Joey Krug: https://unchainedpodcast.com/joey-krug-on-how-augur-is-like-any-other-tool-ep-79/
A Crypto Thesis: https://medium.com/@PanteraCapital/a-crypto-thesis-47eaacf861ca
Unconfirmed about Congressional hearings on Libra: https://unchainedpodcast.com/why-the-congressional-hearings-on-facebooks-libra-were-good-for-bitcoin/
Unconfirmed about why it would be good if Libra rivaled the USD: https://unchainedpodcast.com/why-it-would-be-good-if-libra-rivaled-the-us-dollar/
Unconfirmed with Dante Disparte of the Libra Association: https://unchainedpodcast.com/libras-dante-disparte-on-why-we-should-trust-a-financial-system-designed-by-facebook/
Some crypto industry players fed up with US regulators: https://www.forbes.com/sites/laurashin/2019/05/29/crypto-companies-and-investors-fed-up-with-the-sec/#3f348ad7701c
The SEC vs. Kik: https://unchainedpodcast.com/kin-sets-up-5-million-defendcrypto-org-to-take-on-the-sec/
Bitcoin ETF: https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2018/10/pantera-capital-ceo-sec-doesnt-want-widows-and-orphans-buying-bitcoin-etfs-i-think-an-etf-is-years-away/
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices