CFTC Chair Michael Selig On Perps, Prediction Markets & Crypto In The U.S
This week, CFTC Chair Michael Selig joins the show to discuss the CFTC's recent policy announcement on perps in the U.S. We deep dive into how to regulate crypto in the U.S, prediction markets, 24/7 markets, working with the SEC and more. Enjoy!
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Follow Michael: https://x.com/MichaelSelig
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(04:20) Working With The SEC
(08:40) Bringing Perps To The U.S
(19:03) peaq Ad
(19:49) How To Regulate DeFi?
(26:08) Becoming The Crypto Capital of The World
(29:10) Prediction Markets
(45:28) 24/7 Capital Markets
(56:39) The Clarity Act
(01:00:14) Final Thoughts
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Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, Rob and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Rewriting the Rules: The SEC & CFTC on Crypto, IPOs & the Future of American Markets
(0:00) Jason and Chamath welcome SEC's Paul Atkins and CFTC's Michael Selig
(0:53) Atkins on how US markets have changed over his 40 year career
(3:04) Top priorities across both agencies: Fixing the IPO drought, crypto regulation, cutting unnecessary rules
(8:16) AI trading bots, autonomous hedge funds, and investing with leverage
(15:30) Ending the "Turf War" between the SEC and CFTC, super app vision
(19:15) Prediction markets, insider trading, gray area
(26:56) Trump advocates for changing quarterly earnings to bi-annual
(30:30) Changing the accreditation rules a priority for 2026
(34:56) HFT firms that dominate the futures markets, swap reporting
(40:36) VC fund formation
(46:18) US markets vs the world, crypto classification
(52:54) Biggest risks: Market manipulation, crypto scams, and the Gen Z gambling crisis
SEC Chair Paul Atkins:
https://x.com/SECPaulSAtkins
CFTC Chair Michael Selig:
https://x.com/ChairmanSelig
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Making America the Crypto Capital of the World | New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig
A conversation with new CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on the policy shift behind America’s push to become the crypto capital of the world.
We cover the CFTC’s evolving role in crypto, prediction markets, and perpetuals, the end of regulation by enforcement, how the agency is thinking about DeFi and software developers, and why market structure legislation like the Clarity Act could reshape the future of U.S. crypto.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:33 Mike’s Background
4:25 Commodity Markets Transformation
7:31 Commodity Definition
10:56 The Role of the CFTC
11:56 Prediction Markets
17:48 Navigating New Markets
20:34 Are Prediction Markets CFTC Territory?
24:45 Insider Trading vs Information Advantage
28:25 Trump’s Conflict of Interests
29:21 Clarity Act
36:58 Project Crypto
39:37 Defining Intermediary
43:32 Exchanges vs L2s
45:50 No More Wells Notices
50:17 The New CFTC & SEC
54:51 Making America the Crypto Capital of the World
57:08 Best of the Clarity Act
59:04 Closing & Disclaimers
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RESOURCES
Mike Selig
https://x.com/ChairmanSelig
CFTC
https://www.cftc.gov/
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Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets
We are rapidly entering a world in which there are odds on virtually everything. During the recent Super Bowl, the big prediction market platforms didn't just offer bets on the game itself, but also on more exotic facets, such as the first song that Bad Bunny would sing, even who would join Bad Bunny in the performance. And while a lot of people thinks this looks like gambling, it's actually regulated by the CFTC, an agency created in the 1970s to regulate derivatives. On this episode, we speak with new CFTC Chairman Michael Selig, who was nominated by President Trump and took his position in December. We talk to him about his philosophy, and why it is that these new bets are regulated as financial instruments, rather than gambling products. We talk about the tension that emerges when 18-year-olds can place bets on sports via prediction markets, even though in many states have laws on sports gambling, either banning it outright, or requiring participants to be at least 21. We also talk about crypto regulation, and whether perpetual futures -- which have exploded in the crypto space -- could soon be coming to traditional markets.
Read more:Jump Trading Poised to Gain Stakes in Kalshi and PolymarketGambling Stocks Sag as Prediction Markets Steal Super Bowl Bets
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DEX in the City: Why the Market Structure Bill May Not Be Good for DeFi
Thank you to our sponsor, Mantle!
After months of anticipation, U.S. Senators have unveiled draft crypto market structure legislation.
In this episode of DEX in the City, hosts Jessi Brooks, Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos and Vy Le are joined by Blockchain Association CEO and former CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger to unpack all the provisions that stand out.
These include the bill's attempt to draw a line between centralized and decentralized platforms, the amended stance on stablecoin yield and exemptions for assets with ETFs.
Would the bill “sweep up all of DeFi?” Has crypto lost the fight over stablecoin yield? And is Trump playing interference for crypto?
Hosts:
Jessi Brooks
Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos
TuongVy Le
Guests:
Summer Mersinger, CEO Blockchain Association
Links:
Tether Freezes $182 Million in USDT on Tron
Senators Move to Curb Passive Stablecoin Yields in Market Structure Push
How the Crypto Market Structure Law Would Expose that Trump’s WLFI Isn’t DeFi
Jessi and Katherine's paper on programmable risk management
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Bits + Bips: What CFTC Oversight Could Mean For Crypto As Trump's Chair Pick Crosses Key Senate Hurdle - Ep. 957
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Mantle
Walrus
President Donald Trump's pick for chair, Mike Selig, has cleared the Senate Agriculture Committee just as lawmakers look set to hand over crypto oversight to the agency.
In this episode, former CFTC Chair Chris Giancarlo joins Unchained Executive Editor Steven Ehrlich to unpack Selig's Senate hearing. Chris shares his experience working with Mike, why the CFTC should get more resources to handle crypto and crypto's unique commodity trading structure.
He also touches on the challenges the agency could face regulating crypto, whether exchanges should be allowed to continue performing several functions under one umbrella, the timeline for CLARITY and the regulatory path ahead for prediction markets.
Host:
Steve Ehrlich, Executive Editor at Unchained
Guest:
J. Christopher Giancarlo, Former Commissioner of the CTFC
Links:
Unchained:
Prospective CFTC Chair Says It’s ‘Vitally Important to Have a Cop On The Beat’ in Crypto
Senate Committee Shares Bipartisan Draft on Crypto Market Structure Bill
The Chopping Block: When Wall Street Meets DeFi — How Equity Perps and RWAs Redefine Leverage On-Chain
DEX in the City: Are Prediction Markets Gambling, and Who Should Regulate Them?
Polymarket Quietly Relaunches in U.S. in Beta Mode: Report
Timestamps:
🚀 00:00 Introduction
⚡️1:41 Chris details his experience working with Mike Selig
🤔 6:34 Does the CFTC have enough resources to handle crypto?
📽 10:34 Crypto’s unique commodity trading structure
🧱 13:37 The challenges the CFTC could face with crypto's unique trading structure
🤔 15:15 Should crypto exchanges remain vertically integrated?
💡17:25 How DeFi should be regulated
🧏 20:46 Why Chris says crypto perps do not need new laws
🔮 24:49 Mike's confirmation timeline
💥 25:46 Why prediction markets are important
👀 27:57 Why Chris compares the regulatory trajectory of prediction markets to Uber
💡 28:57 What regulations could look like for prediction markets
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Crypto vs. Banks: Who Controls America’s Money? | Summer Mersinger
Crypto vs. Banks — the proxy war for the future of money is heating up.
Summer Mersinger, CEO of the Blockchain Association and former CFTC Commissioner, joins Bankless to unpack the battle over the GENIUS Act, why banks are fighting to roll it back, and how stablecoins have become the frontline. From Elizabeth Warren’s fading influence to the $700M bank lobbying machine, we explore what’s really happening on Capitol Hill, the global stakes for stablecoins, and how upcoming U.S. policy could reshape innovation, regulation, and consumer freedom.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
1:12 The GENIUS Act Victory
8:49 How Laws Really Get Made
16:17 The Bank Lobby vs. The Crypto Lobby
20:29 The Shifting Politics of Crypto
27:29 Will Banks Go Crypto?
33:10 International Dimension
37:14 CFTC, SEC, and Market Structure
52:26 DC Drama & Leadership Vacancies
55:42 Prediction Markets & Policy Battles
1:00:07 Looking Ahead to 2026
1:02:15 Closing Thoughts
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RESOURCES
Summer Mersinger
https://x.com/SKMersinger
Blockchain Association
https://x.com/BlockchainAssn
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Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
White House Crypto Summit: Two Attendees Share Why It Matters - Ep. 797
The election of Donald Trump marked a sea change for U.S. crypto policy.
The symbolism of that transformation was on full display at the White House’s first-ever Crypto Summit, at which President Trump met with several crypto business leaders. But what was actually said behind closed doors? And does this mark the beginning of a truly pro-crypto shift—or just another short-lived political move?
In this episode, BitGo CEO Mike Belshe and former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo break down what really happened at the summit, whether the proposed Bitcoin reserve is a smart idea or a political gimmick, and why some believe the U.S. dollar could one day be backed by BTC.
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com
Thank you to our sponsors!
Bitwise
Guests:
Mike Belshe, CEO at BitGo
Chris Giancarlo, Senior counsel at Willkie Farr & Gallagher and former CFTC chairman
Links
Recent coverage of Unchained on the Bitcoin Reserve and the White House Crypto Summit :
Trump Says He Is Ending Operation Choke Point 2.0
Trump Establishes Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and Digital Asset Stockpile
Trump's Surprise Crypto Reserve Announcement Iced Out D.C. Insiders
How Did Ripple Sell Trump on XRP in a Crypto Reserve? By Pushing for Solana
Why Trump May Have Chosen This Week to Announce a Strategic Crypto Reserve
Which Crypto Assets Belong in a Reserve? This VC Says Not XRP and ADA
Chris’s article: Crypto neo-privateers could be the solution to hacks
Nic Carter’s tweet on Trump’s crypto endeavours
Omid Malekan’s analogy of the SBR with buying a shirt
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CFTC vs. Uniswap, Prediction Markets, & Crypto | Commissioner Summer Mersinger
In this episode, we speak with CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger about the rapidly changing world of cryptocurrency regulation. Commissioner Mersinger provides a detailed look at the differences between the CFTC and SEC, their roles in overseeing digital assets, and how the regulatory landscape is evolving with DeFi and crypto markets. She discusses the CFTC’s recent dissent in the Uniswap case, the challenges of classifying assets as commodities or securities, and the implications of U.S. regulations on the global crypto industry.
Whether you're a crypto enthusiast, a DeFi developer, or just curious about how the U.S. government is approaching these new technologies, this episode offers invaluable insights into the future of crypto regulation.
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------ TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro 5:20 Commissioner Mersinger 8:20 CFTC vs. SEC Regulation Differences 9:44 Assets: Commodities vs. Securities 21:59 Consensus on Digital Assets as Commodities 26:03 CFTC vs. SEC Rivalry Dynamics 28:25 Bureaucracy a Feature or Bug? 29:34 Overregulation in Crypto: CFTC vs. SEC 36:15 Uniswap Case: CFTC Enforcement Action 47:41 The Regulatory Paradox of Decentralized Finance 1:00:09 CFTC Enforcement Decision-Making Process 1:02:02 Addressing Crypto Prediction markets in crypto 1:15:08 Engagement for Productive Crypto Future 1:19:52 Continuing engagement and conversation is essential 1:20:55 Closing & Disclaimers
------ RESOURCES
Commissioner Summer Mersinger https://x.com/cftcmersinger
Commissioner Mersinger’s Dissent https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/mersingerstatement090424
Uniswap Action https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8961-24
------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures
How the U.S. Government Can Protect the Dollar Through Stablecoins - Ep. 655
In this episode, Laura Shin speaks with former CFTC chairman Chris Giancarlo and former CFTC chief innovation officer Daniel Gorfine on the pressing need for the U.S. to safeguard the dollar. They explain why they believe the future of regulation is the government operating nodes on blockchains rather than regulating intermediaries, why even private USD stablecoins will want a USD central bank digital currency, and how China might export the technology behind the digital yuan—and its surveillance capabilities—to other countries. They also touch on how the upcoming U.S. elections could influence crypto policy, why stablecoins are more than just trading instruments, and what the U.S. must do to maintain its financial leadership.
Show highlights:
How governments should embrace blockchain technology to become better at its job, according to Chris
How the financial system needs to change for the younger generations
Whether the U.S. is losing ground in terms of innovation
Why Daniel thinks stablecoins are much more than a trading instrument for crypto
Why Daniel believes that the U.S. is making the regulation of stablecoins “far more complicated than it needs to be”
How Singapore is already giving licenses to USD stablecoin issuers
Whether the dollar should be trademarked to protect it
How Tether has become one of the most profitable companies per employee in history without being under U.S. jurisdiction
Who should be the next chair of the SEC and the need to regulate DeFi in order for it to become mainstream
Why Daniel thinks that some of the criticism of the FIT21 bill “doesn’t hold water”
Why Chris believes that China is lying about not intending to export the technology behind the digital yuan
Whether algorithmic stablecoins should be banned, as proposed in the Lummis-Gillibrand bill
Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com
First Bits + Bips episode: Bits + Bips: Does Macroeconomics Point to a Potential Crypto Supercycle?
Thank you to our sponsors!
Polkadot
VaultCraft
Guests:
Chris Giancarlo, Former Chairman of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission, author of CryptoDad
Forbes: ‘Elizabeth Warren’s Anti-Crypto Wing Is A Shrinking Iceberg’, Says Former Top Regulator
FoxBusiness Interview: Elizabeth Warren and others have declared war on cryptocurrency: Chris Giancarlo
Op-ed in the FT Banking Risk & Regulation: Can CBDCs be made safe for democracy?
Daniel Gorfine, Founder & CEO of boutique advisory firm Gattaca Horizons, former Chief Innovation Officer at the U.S. CFTC, and adjunct professor at the Georgetown University Law Center
Opinion: Stablecoin and other digital assets are falsely framed as a choice between personal privacy and national security. We can have both. - MarketWatch
Building digital infrastructure for the future of finance
Links
Stablecoins:
Stablecoins Are Defense Tech by Morgan Beller
Unchained:
Opinion: Regulated Dollar Stablecoins Created by a Proposed New Senate Bill Would be Crypto’s Ultimate Trojan Horse
Tether's Record $4.5 Billion Q1 Profit Highlights Its Dominance of the Stablecoin Industry
SAB 121
Unchained: President Biden Vetoes SAB121 Repeal
FIT21
Unchained: FIT21 Bill Heads to The Senate: Should We Really Be Excited?
Spot Ether ETFs
Unchained: Analysts Up Odds of Spot Ether ETF to 75% as Prometheum Launches Product That Treats ETH as a Security
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92 - The Fight for the Future of Money | CryptoDad Chris Giancarlo
Chris Giancarlo, aka CryptoDad, is the former chair of the CFTC, the governing body that oversees Commodity Futures Trading. He's now an advisor in crypto, a senior advisor at a law firm, and of course, a father.
This conversation circles around many of the topics Chris covers in his new book, 'The Fight for the Future of Money.' We move through the specifics like the differences between Futures and Spot ETFs, but then we turn towards the big picture.
What are American values? How do we instantiate them into our digital institutions? America has a remarkable history of saying 'yes,' and the stakes couldn't be higher as America decides whether to say yes to credibly neutral, decentralized protocols.
✨ EPISODE DEBRIEF ✨ https://shows.banklesshq.com/p/exclusive-debrief-the-fight-for-the
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------ Topics Covered:
0:00 Intro 6:30 Chris Giancarlo 10:06 CryptoDad & BTC Futures 18:27 Facing Resistance 22:13 Fear & Regulation 28:02 Vindicated 31:55 Futures vs Spot ETFs 41:29 Liquidity & Price 47:00 ETH Futures 53:09 Trust in Money 58:00 Getting the Values Right 1:04:43 Will People Care? 1:10:31 The CFTC’s Approach 1:16:03 Encouraging Innovation 1:21:31 Regulatory Clarity 1:26:44 Free Markets & Free People 1:33:56 The Crypto Dad 1:37:37 Closing & Disclaimers
------ Resources:
CryptoDad on Twitter: https://twitter.com/giancarloMKTS?s=20
The Fight for the Future of Money: https://www.chrisgiancarlo.org/book
----- Not financial or tax advice. This channel is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. This video is not tax advice. Talk to your accountant. Do your own research.
Disclosure. From time-to-time I may add links in this newsletter to products I use. I may receive commission if you make a purchase through one of these links. Additionally, the Bankless writers hold crypto assets. See our investment disclosures here: https://newsletter.banklesshq.com/p/bankless-disclosures