Inside the AI Sprint, Understanding Anthropic's Strategy | Tomasz Tunguz, Theory Ventures
Show notes
Tomasz Tunguz is the Founder and General Partner of Theory Ventures. We talk about today’s “all out sprint” in AI, Anthropic’s strategy, the three layers of AI business models, how AI compares to prior technologies, where to invest in AI today, and what Theory looks for in new investments. Thank you to Numeral, Flex, and Amplitude for supporting this episode Numeral: The end-to-end platform for sales tax and compliance https://www.numeral.com Flex: Get premium banking and a net 60 day credit card at 0% APY https://home.flex.one/referral/bananacapital Amplitude: AI analytics, all you have to do is ask https://www.amplitude.com Timestamps: (0:42) The “all out sprint” in AI today (1:40) Why GPU prices are up 116% in six weeks (6:34) AI infra end-state: “We’ll over build” (9:12) Tokenmaxxing, and why AI needs to get more efficient (15:48) AI models will resemble pharma more than software (19:52) Why Anthropic still trades at a discount (25:42) Anthropic’s strategy: commoditize the compliments (30:29) Why OpenClaw is so strategic for OpenAI (34:08) The three layers of AI business models (38:18) Where to invest in AI today (45:49) Who will survive SaaSpocalypse? (52:15) Comparing AI’s impact to historical technology cycles (57:34) How new technology historically impacts jobs (1:05:58) Where AI is underrated today (1:10:41) How people are actually buying AI products (1:14:06) Why Theory’s investing in ads, inference, and email (1:16:24) 2026 IPO pipeline, how VC has changed over 20 years (1:20:56) What Theory looks for in new investments (1:22:32) Starting Theory Ventures in 2022 (1:25:39) Running a monte carlo analysis to determine portfolio construction (1:27:54) Tomasz personal AI projects Referenced Theory Ventures: https://theoryvc.com/ Tomasz Blog: https://tomtunguz.com/ Follow Tomasz Twitter: https://x.com/ttunguz LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tomasztunguz Follow Turner Twitter: https://twitter.com/TurnerNovak LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/turnernovak Subscribe to my newsletter to get every episode + the transcript in your inbox every week: https://www.thespl.it/
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